Kansas City Chiefs NFL Prediction: 2021 Season Betting Odds and Preview

Jordan Ramsay | Updated Sep 08, 2021

To the surprise of absolutely no one, Kansas City opens the season as +480 favourites to win the Super Bowl. Can Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs continue to dominate the AFC and make a third straight appearance in the big game?

Most people thought the Kansas City Chiefs would run it back to the Super Bowl last season after winning it all in 2019, but what they didn’t expect was how little protection quarterback Patrick Mahomes had against the Buccaneers.  After a blowout loss to Tampa Bay, the Chiefs had a busy offseason and drastically overhauled their offensive line in an attempt to reach the Super Bowl for the third consecutive year.  Can Mahomes win a second Super Bowl and continue the race to eclipse Tom Brady‘s seven rings?

Veteran Additions

RB Jerick McKinnon, FB Mike Burton, TE Blake Bell, OT Orlando Brown, G Joe Thuney, G Kyle Long, C Austin Blythe, DT Jarran Reed, CB Mike Hughes, S Will Parks

Notable Draft Picks

LB Nick Bolton, C Creed Humphrey, DE Josh Kaindoh, TE Noah Gray

Offseason Losses

RB Le’veon Bell, RB Damien Williams, FB Anthony Sherman, WR Sammy Watkins, OT Eric Fisher, OT Mitchell Schwartz, C Austin Reiter, C Daniel Kilgore, DE Alex Okafor, DT Tanoh Kpassagnon, DT Mike Pennel, LB Damien Wilson, CB Baushad Breeland

Kansas City Chiefs Acquisitions and Moves

This team’s success completely lies with Mahomes, which is why it was shocking to see just how little protection he had in the Super Bowl.  Kansas City immediately addressed the issue in the offseason by overhauling an offensive line that was plagued by injuries in 2020.  They allowed centre Austin Reiter to leave in free agency and released veteran tackles Eric Fisher and Mitchell Scwartz.

The 2021 version of the offensive line will see five new starters.  Left tackle Orlando Brown was brought in from Baltimore, left guard Joe Thuney was picked up in free agency and right tackle Lucas Niang will play his rookie year after opting out of last season.  We’ll also see 2021 draft picks Creed Humphrey at centre and Trey Smith at right guard.

There’s a lot more continuity with the defence, as most of last year’s starters are back.  Rookie linebacker Nick Bolton, however, is expected to get a lot of action, at least early in the season.  Bolton was solid in the preseason and with Willie Gay Jr. opening the season on injured reserve, head coach Andy Reid may need to use the 2021 second-round pick more than initially planned.

Kansas City Chiefs 2021 NFL Schedule

After a 14-2 season that saw Kansas City reach the Super Bowl for the second straight year, the Chiefs come into 2020 with the 11th-hardest schedule based on their opponents’ combined record from last year.  With the addition of the extra 17th game, you’ll rarely see division winners with easy schedules anymore, as they now need to play five first place teams, rather than the four they played in the 16-game season.

Kansas City will absolutely beat up teams when they face the NFC East this season and their bye in Week 12 is ideal as they gear up for another long playoff run.  Three of their final four regular season games are on the road, but they’ll be playing the Chargers, Bengals and Broncos, so it’s as ideal of road swing as you can ask for.

Week 1: Sunday, Sept. 12 vs. Cleveland Browns, 4:25 p.m

Week 2: Sunday, Sept. 19 @ Baltimore Ravens, 8:20 p.m.

Week 3: Sunday, Sept. 26 vs. Los Angeles Chargers, 1 p.m.

Week 4: Sunday, October 3 @ Philadelphia Eagles, 1 p.m.

Week 5: Sunday, Oct. 10 vs. Buffalo Bills, 8:20 p.m.

Week 6: Sunday, Oct. 17 @ Washington Football Team, 1 p.m.

Week 7: Sunday, Oct. 24 @ Tennessee Titans, 1 p.m.

Week 8: Monday, Nov. 1 vs. New York Giants, 8:15 p.m.

Week 9: Sunday, Nov. 7 vs. Green Bay Packers, 4:25 p.m.

Week 10: Sunday, Nov. 14 @ Las Vegas Raiders, 8:20 p.m.

Week 11: Sunday, Nov. 21 vs. Dallas Cowboys, 4:25 p.m.

Week 12: BYE

Week 13: Sunday, December 5 vs. Denver Broncos, 1 p.m.

Week 14: Sunday, Dec. 12 vs. Las Vegas Raiders, 1 p.m.

Week 15: Thursday, Dec. 16 @ Los Angeles Chargers, 8:20 p.m.

Week 16: Sunday, Dec. 26 vs. Pittsburgh Steelers, 4:25 p.m.

Week 17: Sunday, Jan. 2 @ Cincinnati Bengals, 1 p.m.

Week 18: Sunday, Jan. 9 @ Denver Broncos, 4:25 p.m.

Kansas City Chiefs NFL Betting Odds

With nothing but improvements to the roster, it should come as no surprise that the Chiefs are +480 favourites to win the Super Bowl and +240 to make it to the big game.  They’re +235 to win the AFC Conference outright and they’re -333 to win the AFC West.  The Chiefs’ regular season win total is at 12.5 games, so take the Over at +111 before it gets bet down any further.  If you love a longshot (or want to throw your money away) bet Kansas City at +694 to miss the playoffs.

Kansas City Chiefs 2021 Season Prediction

No one has been sleeping on Mahomes and the Chiefs for a few years now and there’s still nothing teams can do to contain Kansas City’s explosive offence.  There’s no threat in their division and I don’t know if Buffalo or Baltimore are ready to take the next step and knock Kansas City off.  In a 17-game season there’s bound to be a couple contests that get away from the Chiefs, but I’m still banking on Mahomes and Kansas City going 15-2 on their way to a third straight Super Bowl appearance.