The Dolphins have given their playoff chances a major jolt with five consecutive wins, and have allowed an average of just 11 points per game over that span. So it’s no surprise that Miami is a large favourite as it looks to extend its ATS dominance vs. the division-rival Jets.

NFL Point Spread and Betting Analysis

Miami opened as a one-TD fave in some betting markets, but heavy action on the hosts has driven the line all the way up to -9.5 – and it might climb even higher. More than 70 percent of Sports Interaction bettors are on the Dolphins, who are a solid 7-5-1 ATS on the year and have covered seven straight meetings. New York has been dreadful by every measure, going 3-10 SU and ATS while dropping five of six both straight up and against the spread.

Oddsmakers aren’t expecting many fireworks in this matchup, setting the total at 41 (with -110 odds on both sides). And as you might expect, that has brought out the Over bettors, with 63 percent of SIA bettors siding with the O41. New York has actually been a slightly stronger Over play (7-6) despite being one of the lowest-scoring teams in the NFL, while the Dolphins carry a 5-8 O/U record into the game and have cashed the Under in five of their last six.

New York Jets

The Jets are hardly the only team in the NFL with injury issues, but having 21 players listed on their infirm list seems a bit extreme. Still, things are looking up for the New York offence: starting running back Michael Carter is expected to return after missing the previous three games with an ankle injury that landed him on IR. Carter has been a pivotal part of the New York offence, leading the team in rushing in all but one game when healthy.

Miami Dolphins

While the Jets’ running back situation is getting better, the Dolphins could be facing a major backfield crisis this weekend. The team’s top three RBs – Myles Gaskin, Salvon Ahmed and Philip Lindsay – are all in the COVID-19 protocols and will need two negative tests prior to Sunday in order to return. If they aren’t, the Dolphins will be left with Malcolm Brown, who is set to return from a quad injury, and Duke Johnson, who has seen just four snaps this season.

NFL Prediction: Who Will Win Jets vs. Dolphins?