How to Bet Week 3 of the 2025 NFL Season: Will there be an offensive explosion in Chicago?
It’s Week 3 in the NFL and we’re back sifting through the muck for some betting gems.
Let’s get right to it.
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Houston Texans at Jacksonville Jaguars
Texans moneyline (+105)
I know Houston is the road team, but I’m still not sure why they’re pegged as underdogs against Jacksonville.
Let’s not forget, the Texans’ defence has been solid despite an 0-2 start. They held the Rams to 14 points in Week 1 and only gave up 20 points against Tampa Bay in Week 2.
Meanwhile, the Jaguars have struggled to take advantage of weak defences in Carolina and Cincinnati. I’m also looking at the struggles of Brian Thomas Jr. and Travis Hunter on offence. That’s not a good matchup against Houston’s elite secondary.
I still have faith C.J. Stroud will turn things around for the Texans, so I love the value of Houston on the moneyline this week.
Indianapolis Colts at Tennessee Titans
Total Under 43.5
I’ve got Colts vs. Titans circled as a lower scoring game. One of the most important factors for me, is you have an indoor team in Indianapolis playing outdoors in Tennessee in what is expected to be double-digit winds.
You also can’t overlook the Titans defence, which held Bo Nix and the Broncos to just 20 points in Week 1. They gave up 33 points to the Rams in Week 2, but they’ve still had one of the better early-down pass defences through two weeks.
I’m expecting the Colts to rely heavily on running back Jonathan Taylor, who is coming off a 165-yard rushing performance against Denver. That run attack should slow the game down and limit the offensive output.
And Tennessee hasn’t exactly been flashy on offence, with Cam Ward has completing just 50.8 per cent of his passes for one touchdown through two games. Give me the Under.
New Orleans Saints at Seattle Seahawks
Saints +7.5
The New Orleans Saints were expected to be one of the worst teams in the NFL this season, but despite an 0-2 start, they haven’t looked as bad as predicted. I like the Saints to hang with Seattle this week.
New Orleans already kept the Niners in check in Week 1, nearly upsetting San Fran in a 26-21 loss. They also kept it a one-possession game in last week’s loss against Arizona.
Meanwhile, Sam Darnold hasn’t wowed for the 1-1 Seahawks, passing for just 150 yards in Week 1 and throwing two interceptions in Week 2.
The real concern is Seattle’s secondary, which is dealing with multiple injuries. I think the Seahawks still win outright, but New Orleans will keep it a respectable score.
Dallas Cowboys at Chicago Bears
Total Over 50.5
The Cowboys and Bears have hit the Over in eight straight head-to-heads and I like that to continue in Week 3.
Dallas is coming off a 40-point onslaught against the Giants, which saw Dak Prescott throw for 361 yards, while three receivers had at least 68 yards each. Javonte Williams has also been hot to start the year, with 151 rushing yards and three touchdowns.
I also think Chicago’s offence will continue to improve under head coach Ben Johnson. Caleb Williams already looks more comfortable under centre and he should have a chance to put up better numbers against a weak Cowboys defence.
This is a high total, but there’s still value in taking the Over.