Giants vs. Saints Point Spread: NFL Week 5 Odds, Prediction
Two of the worst teams in the NFC will square off when the New York Giants visit the New Orleans Saints on Sunday afternoon in Week 5 of the NFL season. New York (1-3) actually won a game this past weekend and even beat a respectable opponent in the Los Angeles Chargers, but star receiver Malik Nabers was lost for the year with a torn ACL. New Orleans (0-4) is keeping up with the New York Jets and Tennessee Titans in a battle for the No. 1 overall pick in the 2026 NFL Draft.
The Saints have won the last two head-to-head meetings and three of the last four. Their only loss during this stretch has come in overtime via a 27-21 decision in October 2021. In Week 14 of last year, the Saints went into New York and survived a defensive struggle 14-11.
The Week 5 NFL odds board has the Saints as 2-point favourites.
NFL Point Spread and Betting Analysis
The under is by far the most prevailing trend in this matchup. It is 4-1 in the last five meetings between New York and New Orleans dating back to 2016. The under is also 4-1 in the Giants’ past five games dating back to last season. Finally, it is 6-4 in the Saints’ last 10 outings. New Orleans is 3-7 ATS in its past 10 contests, while New York is 2-1 ATS in its past three.
In addition to the more traditional lines, the first-quarter spread is -0.5 in New Orleans’ favour and the first-half spread is also -0.5. On the prop-betting front, Saints running back Alvin Kamara has the best chance to score a touchdown according to the odds at -125. Running back Cam Skattebo (-110) is the most likely Giants player to find the end zone.
New York Giants
The overriding thought was that this would be Jaxson Dart’s debut, given that New Orleans is terrible and New York faced a formidable foe in the Chargers last weekend. Instead, head coach Brian Daboll made the move prior to Week 4 and threw his rookie quarterback into the fire, replacing Russell Wilson. Dart was by no means spectacular, but he threw for one touchdown and ran for another and was good enough to lead his team to a 21-18 upset victory.
New York had no semblance of a passing game (Dart finished with 111 yards) and more of the same can be expected moving forward now that Nabers is out for the season. Skattebo, who had 25 carries against Los Angeles, should be in line for a heavy workload against a Saints defence that is allowing 118.8 rushing yards per contest.
New Orleans Saints
New Orleans head coach Kellen Moore has not yet turned to his rookie quarterback, Tyler Shough. Spencer Rattler still has the job under center after being solid but unspectacular through four outings. Although Rattler has not provided any kind of defensive spark, he is at least playing mistake-free football for the most part – sporting a 5-to-1 touchdown-to-interception ratio.
The Saints are dealing with injury issues of their own on both sides of the ball. Depth on the offensive line is a serious issue, especially with starting guard Cesar Ruiz set to miss Sunday’s game with an ankle injury. Edge rusher Chase Young has not yet made his season debut because of a calf problem.
Who Will Win Giants vs. Saints?
New Orleans really shouldn’t be favoured over anyone – not even at home. That gives New York great value as an underdog, especially on the heels of its surprising performance against the Chargers. Let’s go with the Giants to win 17-16 in an ugly affair between two bad teams.
NYG
NO