Washington vs. Bills Point Spread: NFL Week 3 Odds, Prediction

Jordan Ramsay | Updated Sep 22, 2021

A pair of 1-1 teams are set to meet on Sunday as Washington travels to Buffalo to face Josh Allen and the Bills.

September 26, 2021, 1:00 PM ET
New Era Field
Pointspread +7.5 -120
Moneyline +277
Over / Under o +45.5


Betting Action


Pointspread -7.5 +100
Moneyline -332
Over / Under u +45.5


Betting Action


Washington and Buffalo are both coming into their Week 3 contest sitting at 1-1 on the season, but they’ve taken very different paths to those records.  Washington squeaked out a 29-28 win over the Giants last week, hitting the winning field goal on their second attempt and with no time left on the clock.  The Bills, on the other hand, showed their surprising Week 1 loss was a fluke as they crushed Miami 35-0 on the road in Week 2.

Buffalo is a heavy 8.5-point road favourite to win on the NFL odds, with a total of 45.5.

NFL Point Spread and Betting Analysis

These teams rarely play each other, although Buffalo has won three of their four meetings since 2007.  The last time they met was Week 9 in 2019.  The Bills won 24-9, with Josh Allen throwing for 160 yards and a touchdown.

Washington has historically struggled against the Bills, losing seven of their last eight games overall against Buffalo.  They haven’t covered in either of their games this year and went 8-7-1 against the spread in 2020.  Washington split the Over/Under in their first two games of the season, but they only managed to go above the number five times last year.  They were at least 9.5-point dogs twice last season, going 1-0-1 ATS in those games.

Buffalo has feasted at home, where they won seven of eight games last year.  They’re 1-1 ATS through the first two weeks of the season, after going 11-5 ATS in 2020.  The total has gone Under in the Bills’ Week 1 and Week 2 games, but that’s likely due to change as they hit the Over 11 times last year.  Buffalo failed to cover in their only game as at least a 9.5-point favourite in 2020.

Washington Football Team

Quarterback Taylor Heinicke bailed out Washington’s defence in Week 2 and made up for late mistakes by himself and kicker Dustin Hopkins.  In just his second career start, Heinicke threw a late interception before Washington regained the ball and he led the team back to field goal range.  He finished the game with 336 passing yards and two touchdowns.  Hopkins actually missed his first field goal attempt to win the game, before a penalty gave him another shot, which he nailed.

The big issue in Washington in the early part of the season has been their defence.  After going through 2020 with the league’s second-best ranked defence, they’ve given up an average of over 400 yards to the Chargers and Giants this year.  Washington allowed the Giants to score on their first four possessions of the second half in Week 2 and they gave up a late 58-yard touchdown run, that was fortunately called back by a penalty.

The only major injury concern continues to be starting quarterback Ryan Fitzpatrick.  The NFL journeyman is expected to miss multiple weeks after injuring his hip in the season-opener.  Defensive tackle Matt Ioannidis left the first half against the Giants with a knee injury, but he eventually returned and is expected to play in Week 3.

Buffalo Bills

Buffalo continued their dominance of Miami with another blowout win against the Dolphins last week.  The Bills have won six straight games by an average of 20 points against their AFC East rivals.  Josh Allen hit the 10,000-yard passing mark in the game, finishing with 179 passing yards, two touchdowns and an interception.  He also added 35 rushing yards on five carries.  Devin Singletary had a game-high 82 rushing yards and a touchdown, while Zack Moss also ran in two scores.  Stefon Diggs led all receivers with 60 yards and a touchdown.

The Bills’ defence came up big in Week 2, recording six sacks and forcing three turnovers.  They also stopped Miami on downs four times.  The defence has been strong through two games, allowing a combined 16 points and 468 yards.  Last week was Buffalo’s first shutout win in five years.

There’s not much injury news with the team.  Cornerback Levi Wallace and linebacker Tremaine Edmunds were both dealing with leg cramps against Miami, but both should be in the lineup this week.

NFL Prediction: Who Will Win Football Team vs. Bills?