Eagles vs. Buccaneers Point Spread: NFL Wildcard Odds, Prediction

Jordan Ramsay | Updated Jan 11, 2022

The NFC wild-card round kicks off Sunday afternoon with the defending Super Bowl champion Tampa Bay Buccaneers hosting the Philadelphia Eagles.

AT
January 16, 2022, 1:00 PM ET
Raymond James Stadium
Tampa Bay
13-4
Pointspread +8 -115
Moneyline +300
Over / Under o +47.5

43%

Betting Action

57%

Pointspread -8 -105
Moneyline -366
Over / Under u +47.5

43%

Betting Action

57%

The Eagles finished the regular-season 9-8 and were blown out 51-26 at home against Dallas in Week 18.  The Bucs finished 13-4 and pounded Carolina 41-17 at home in Week 18 as they won the NFC South for the first time since 2007.

Tampa Bay is an 8.5-point favourite to win on the NFL odds, with a total of 49.0.

NFL Point Spread and Betting Analysis

This will be a rematch of a Week 6 meeting in Philadelphia that saw the Bucs take out the Eagles 28-22.  Tom Brady threw for 294 yards and two touchdowns with one interception for Tampa, while Leonard Fournette rushed for 83 yards and two scores.  Jalen Hurts threw for 115 yards with one touchdown and one pick, and added another two TDs on the ground.

The Eagles finished the season 6-2 straight up over their final eight games and 4-1 SU over their final five on the road.  They were an average cover option in 2021, going 8-8-1 against the spread overall and 5-4 ATS on the road.  Philadelphia hit the Over in four of their last five games, but the total has gone Under in five of their last six games played in January.

Tampa Bay finished the season 7-1 SU at home and 7-1 SU over their final eight games.  They were 9-8 ATS overall and covered six times in Florida.  The Bucs have hit the over in five of their last six January games, but the total has gone Under in five of their last six contests against NFC opponents.

Philadelphia Eagles

The Eagles were torched by Dallas and Dak Prescott, who threw for a career-high five TDs, as they opted to rest multiple key starters, including Hurts.  Hurts was given the extra week off to rest the ankle he sprained in Week 12.  In his first full season as Philadelphia’s starting QB, Hurts finished the year with 3,144 passing yards and 16 TDs.  He also led the team with 784 rushing yards and 10 scoring runs.

One starter who did play last week was rookie wide receiver DeVonta Smith.  Smith played just long enough to break the franchise record for rookie receiving yards set by DeSean Jackson in 2008.  He finished the year with 916 receiving yards and five TDs.

Aside from Hurts’ ankle injury, the Eagles are also dealing with injuries to their top three running backs, Miles Sanders (broken hand), Jordan Howard (COVID protocols) and Boston Scott (COVID protocols).  Sanders missed the final two games of the season, while Howard and Scott missed the regular-season finale.  Head coach Nick Sirianni said he is hopeful Sanders will be able to return and he expects Howard and Scott to be back.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Tampa Bay didn’t go easy on Carolina last week.  Brady threw for 326 yards and three TDs as he makes his case for a fourth career MVP win.  He led the NFL in passing yards (5,316, career-high) and TDs (43, franchise record).  Brady also broke the single-season completion record with 485.  It was his third season with 40 or more scoring tosses and he threw for at least three TDs eight times this year.  The Bucs ranked second in the NFL with 30.1 points per game, scoring 30 or more 10 times.

Wide receiver Mike Evans also made history last week. Evans caught two TD passes to set a new single-season franchise record with 14 scoring receptions.  He finished the year with 1,035 receiving yards, becoming the first player in NFL history to start his career with eight consecutive seasons of at least 1,000 receiving yards.

Fournette is expected to return from a hamstring injury suffered during Week 15.  That would be a big boost to an offence missing two important receivers.  Chris Godwin is done for the year with a torn ACL and the team released Antonio Brown after an epic in-game meltdown in Week 17.

NFL Prediction: Who Will Win Eagles vs. Buccaneers?

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