Colts vs. Bears Point Spread: NFL Week 4 Odds, Prediction

Sports Interaction Staff | Updated Oct 01, 2020

Nick Foles, Bears, 2020

The Bears perfect 3-0 record is on the line this Sunday as the welcome the 2-1 Colts to Chicago for a Week 4 matchup.

AT
October 04, 2020, 4:25 PM ET
Soldier Field
Chicago
8-8
Pointspread -3.5 -103
Moneyline -167
Over / Under o +43.5

50%

Betting Action

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Pointspread +3.5 -117
Moneyline +139
Over / Under u +43.5

50%

Betting Action

50%

Indianapolis is coming off a dominant performance in Week 3, crushing the Jets 36-7, while Chicago barely kept their win streak alive in a 30-26 comeback win over the Falcons.  The visiting Colts are 2.5-point favourites with the total for this game opening at 43.5.

NFL Point Spread and Betting Analysis

There’s not much to learn in regards to history between these two teams, as it has been four years since they last met.  That game ended in a 29-23 Colts win, on the back of since-retired quarterback Andrew Luck.

On grass fields, the over is 4-0 in the Colts last four games, while Indy is 0-3-1 ATS in those games.  The Colts are also 7-0-1 ATS in their last eight games as 0.5 to 3 point favourites.

On the other side of the field, the under is 8-1 in the Bears last nine games following an ATS loss.  Chicago is 5-0 ATS in their last five games as 0.5 to 3 point underdogs, but 0-5 ATS in their last five games against teams with a winning record.

Indianapolis Colts

Indy is coming off a huge win over the Jets, which saw a milestone TD for Philip Rivers.  Rivers lone TD pass, hauled in by Jonathan Taylor, was the 400th of his career.  He is sixth all time in NFL passing TDs, 20 behind Dan Marino.  The Colts also returned two interceptions for TDs for the first time in a single game since 1970, also against the Jets.

This is a very winnable game for the Colts.  The offensive line is going to have its hands full with Khalil Mack, but if they can shutdown the Bears’ star defensive end, Rivers should come through as his passing game has been very efficient since joining Indy.  There is also potential for the run game, as the Bears are giving up 116 rushing yards per game, putting their run defense in the middle of the pack, league wide.  Colts rookie running back Jonathan Taylor is primed for a breakout.  He’s averaging just over 60 yards per game and has two TDs on the season.

Chicago Bears

Nick Foles was the hero last week, as the former Super Bowl MVP replaced quarterback Mitch Trubisky in the third quarter to lead the Bears to an epic 16-point comeback win over the Falcons, 30-26.  Foles finished the game with 188 passing yards and three TDs.

While tight end Jimmy Graham’s two TDs played a big part in Chicago’s win over the Falcons, Allen Robinson should be the offensive difference maker against the Colts.  After picking up 123 receiving yards and a TD against the Falcons, Robinson is primed to breakout against Indy.  Defensively, Khalil Mack should lead the way for Chicago.  The Colts have a strong offensive line, so it will be up to Mack to break through and pressure

Who Will Win Colts vs. Bears?

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