Chargers vs. Saints Point Spread: NFL Week 5 Odds, Prediction

Andrew Rogers | Updated Oct 08, 2020

keenan allen chargers

Keenan Allen ranks second in the NFL in targets and third in receptions, and should be locked on yet again Monday night.

AT
October 12, 2020, 8:15 PM ET
Mercedes-Benz Superdome
Pointspread +7 -105
Moneyline +273
Over / Under o +49

46%

Betting Action

54%

Pointspread -7 -115
Moneyline -332
Over / Under u +49

46%

Betting Action

54%

In a season that has seen an unprecedented barrage of points, the New Orleans Saints have been the ultimate Over bettor’s dream. But they might struggle to keep that run alive as they face the Los Angeles Chargers in a Monday night football encounter at Mercedes-Benz Superdome. The Chargers have gone below the Vegas total in three of their first four games, largely due to some early-season offensive struggles.

NFL Week 5 Point Spread and Betting Analysis

The Saints are just over one-touchdown favourites for this one, and are a whopping -348 on the moneyline. New Orleans has been a wonderfully reliable cover option over the past two years, coming into the Monday nighter with a 13-6 ATS mark over its previous 19 games. And they’re the choice of 66 percent of Sports Interaction participants, who are siding with the home team against a Chargers side that is just 3-7-1 ATS in its last 11 outings.

The total for the final game of Week 5 is 51 – and bettors clearly think that’s too low, with 90 percent opting for the Over. Much of this is likely based on the fact that the Saints have seen an average of 61.5 points scored over their first four games, including back-to-back 60+-point games against Green Bay and Detroit. But the Chargers are 1-3 O/U and, prior to a 38-31 loss to Tampa Bay, had seen an average of 36.3 points scored in their first three games.

Los Angeles Chargers

The player prop landscape for the Chargers is a bit murky; with starting running back Austin Ekeler out for the next 4-6 weeks with a serious hamstring injury, we don’t know how the backfield work will be split between Justin Jackson and Joshua Kelley. If you’re looking for value, consider the over on Keenan Allen’s receptions and yardage totals. Allen ranks second in the NFL in targets and third in receptions, and should be locked on yet again Monday night.

New Orleans Saints

The total outlook for this game might very well hinge on whether Saints receiver Michael Thomas returns from an ankle injury that has kept him out of action since Week 2. Thomas is off to a dreadful start, but his return would provide a significant boost to a New Orleans offence that has looked impressive even without him. If Thomas does come back, however, it might be wise to take the Under on Alvin Kamara’s total yards, as he’ll likely assume a smaller offensive role.

NFL Prediction: Who Will Win Chargers vs. Saints?

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