Chargers vs. Patriots Point Spread: NFL Week 13 Odds, Prediction

Edgar Chaput | Updated Nov 29, 2023

NFL: Las Vegas Raiders at Los Angeles Chargers

Two teams fumbling their way through the 2023 season will meet in Foxborough on Sunday when the Los Angeles Chargers visit the New England Patriots.

December 03, 2023, 1:00 PM ET
Gillette Stadium
Pointspread -4.5 -110
Moneyline -225
Over / Under o +38.5
Pointspread +4.5 -110
Moneyline +180
Over / Under u +38.5

At 4-7, things are already looking dire for the Chargers, thanks in no small part to a 20-10 Sunday Night Football loss against the Ravens last week. The New England Patriots have been adrift at sea for a while, and looked no better, at least offensively, in their 10-7 defeat to old foes the New York Giants.

 The NFL odds still have the Chargers as -6 favourites for this game, which says a lot about the Patriots too.

NFL Point Spread and Betting Analysis

Perhaps facing the Chargers is what the doctor ordered for the Pats. In their last 10 encounters, New England has emerged victorious nine times. The last time the Bolts took down the Patriots was 15 years ago. They didn’t represent Los Angeles but rather San Diego and Philip Rivers was their QB. He’s been retired for a few years already.

Not much has gone right for L.A. this season in what is proving to be one of the more infuriating campaigns their fanbase has had to endure. That’s saying a lot given this franchise’s history. Five of their seven defeats were by one score and each time the Chargers had victory very much within their grasp. As such, the ATS tally is a moribund 3-7-1. Moreover, the offence isn’t clicking like it used to, which translates to a 3-8 record for the over.

Where to begin with New England? They’re 2-9 in the standings, 2-9 ATS, the over is 3-8, they’re 31st in points scored per game (13.5), 23rd in rushing yards per game (99.6), 25th in total yards per game (293.5), 23rd in passing yards per game (193.8) and Mac Jones has been benched mid-game multiple times. They haven’t scored at least 20 points in eight of their last nine contest and put up 10 or fewer in five of them!

Los Angeles Chargers

This author seems to preview a lot of Chargers games, meaning their games have to be watched to know what one is writing about. Sunday against the Baltimore Ravens was like a Twilight Zone version of their matches but with the same bitter taste of defeat at the end.

The Chargers have the worst defence in the NFL both with respect to total yards and passing yards per match. They’re also bottom 10 in points conceded. So, all things considered, they played pretty darn well against the visiting Ravens, limiting them to 20 points and Lamar Jackson to only 177 yards through the air. In fact, it was a 13-10 game with only a few minutes to go.  So naturally the offence stalled, picking up only 16 first downs, 86 rushing yards, and coughing up the ball four times. Keenan Allen has started a new habit of dropping passes as well. He also fumbled, as did Austin Ekeler and Justin Herbert. How head coach Brandon Staley is going work his way out of this hole is anyone’s guess. It might as well start against the lowly Patriots.

New England Patriots

It’s one thing to list off some mediocre-to-terrible offensive statistics when writing an article. It’s another to sit down and watch a game that supports those stats like last Sunday at the New York Giants, a 10-7 defeat.

This is not a very good team, at least offensively – although they’ve been shredded on defence a few times this season too. Mac Jones was once again benched after tossing a couple of picks that looked like mistakes a first-year QB in Week 1 would commit. Bailey Zappe filled in for the rest of the game and threw one too, and it didn’t look any better than Jones’. A healthy Rhamondre Stevenson can help keep some drives alive (21 carries, 98 yards, one TD), but the passing is so bad it’s easy to forget Juju Smith-Schuster is on this roster. The defensive line made the team proud with six sacks, but it came against arguably the worst o-line in the NFL.

Who Will Win Chargers vs. Patriots?

NFL Predictions