Buccaneers vs. Washington Point Spread: NFL Wild Card Odds, Prediction

Sports Interaction Staff | Updated Jan 04, 2021

Chase-Young

Thanks to an NFC East division that was, by far, the worst in the NFL, Washington will be at home for a wildcard matchup with the Buccaneers on Saturday.

Tampa Bay
11-5
AT
January 09, 2021, 8:15 PM ET
FedExField
Pointspread -10.5 -110
Moneyline -500
Over / Under o +45

68%

Betting Action

32%

Pointspread +10.5 -110
Moneyline +401
Over / Under u +45

68%

Betting Action

32%

Round one in the battle between Tom Brady and Bill Belichick to see who can prove he needs the other one less, goes to Brady and the playoff-bound Buccaneers. Tampa Bay opened as 7.5-point favourites on the NFL odds with a total of 46.5.

NFL Playoffs Point Spread and Betting Analysis

Early bettors have clearly seen a few Tom Brady playoff games, as 89 percent of early bets are backing the Bucs, while the over is slightly favoured with 61 percent of bets.

The Buccaneers don’t seem to like the cold weather outside of Florida. The under is 4-1 in Tampa Bay’s last five games in Washington, while the Bucs are 2-6 ATS in their last eight January games and 0-4 ATS in their last four wildcard games.

It’s no secret that Washington doesn’t have the best offence in the league…or second best…or third best…and so on. They haven’t hit the over in their last five games and only hit the over five times all year.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Tom Brady put the doubters to bed for another year and finished the season with 399 passing yards and four TDs in the Buccaneers 44-27 win over Atlanta on Sunday. Brady has proven he is still an elite quarterback, finishing the season with 4,633 yards (3rd in the NFL) and 40 TDs (tied with Russell Wilson for 2nd in the NFL). Brady leads an offence that has put up 122 points in Tampa’s final three regular season games, thanks to a receiver core of Mike Evans, Chris Godwin, Rob Gronkowski and Antonio Brown. Moments after becoming the first NFL player to record at least 1,000 receiving yards in his first seven seasons, Evans was forced to leave the game due to a knee injury, although he is reportedly likely to play on Saturday.

In last week’s game against Atlanta, the Buccaneers defence was average at best, keeping Falcons quarterback Matt Ryan to 265 passing yards and two TDs and holding running back Todd Gurley to 18 yards on nine carries. In typical fashion for a Tom Brady team, however, the Bucs seem to start slow and finish strong. Tampa Bay has been outscored 100-88 in the first quarter by opponents, this year, and the division rival New Orleans Saints swept them in the season series. But, if Tampa Bay can start stronger and minimize defensive mistakes they will have a great chance to win on Saturday, although it is certainly not a given.

Washington Football Team

After rotating between quarterbacks Dwayne Haskins and Kyle Allen only served to help Washington start the season 1-5, it’s purely the defence, particularly the front seven, that has put Washington into the playoffs for the first time since 2015. During the regular season Washington ranked among the top teams in the NFL in pass defence and overall defence. Montez Sweat and Chase Young were each able to shut down opponent’s run games and pass games, while Daron Payne and Jonathan Allen disrupted the middle of the field and collapsed pockets.

Returning from a gruesome leg injury that caused him to miss almost a year and a half, Alex Smith hasn’t been a superstar, but he has at least stabilized Washington’s offence enough to barely make the playoffs. Washington dropped two of its last three regular season games and their Week 17 match against the Eagles was ugly. Smith threw just 162 yards with two TDs and two interceptions and he was sacked three times. Washington’s best chance to win on Saturday is to shut down Tom Brady, but even if they can do that, their offence will still likely struggle to put points up.

NFL Playoff Prediction: Who Will Win Bucs vs. Washington?

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