Buccaneers vs. Bears Point Spread: NFL Week 5 Odds, Prediction

Payton Matthews | Updated Oct 05, 2020

Buccaneers

Tom Brady will play on primetime for the first time as a member of the Bucs as they visit the Bears in a Thursday night matchup of 3-1 teams to kick off Week 5.

Tampa Bay
11-5
AT
October 08, 2020, 8:20 PM ET
Soldier Field
Chicago
8-8
Pointspread -3.5 -122
Moneyline -200
Over / Under o +44.5

85%

Betting Action

15%

Pointspread +3.5 +101
Moneyline +166
Over / Under u +44.5

85%

Betting Action

15%

The Bucs opened as 5.5-point favourites on the NFL odds with a total of 44.5.

NFL Week 5 Point Spread and Betting Analysis

Brady is the biggest star in the NFL (although Patrick Mahomes is closing fast), so the American TV networks all fight to show as many of his games as possible. The maximum limit of scheduled primetime games any team can have is five – although it is possible to get 1-2 more flexed later in the year – and the Bucs have five. Not a shock. Chicago has four. It’s the first primetime game for both in 2020.

This could be a potential playoff preview as both teams could win their respective divisions (much more likely the Bucs won the NFC South than the Bears do the North) or earn Wild-Card spots.

These clubs met Week 4 of the 2018 season also in Chicago and the Bears rolled to a 48-10 victory. Mitchell Trubisky, now benched, had the game of his NFL career by far with 354 yards passing and six touchdowns. Jameis Winston and Ryan Fitzpatrick both saw time at QB that day for the Bucs and combined for three interceptions.

The home team is 4-1 against the spread in the past five meetings.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Tampa Bay won its third in a row Sunday as Brady led a comeback from 17 points down vs. the Chargers for a 38-31 win. Brady had five touchdown passes to five different receivers – a first in his Hall of Fame career. The 43-year-old also became the NFL’s oldest QB to ever have five TD passes in a game. The Bucs played without wideout Chris Godwin, a Pro Bowler last year, and running back Leonard Fournette. Not likely Godwin, at a minimum, is back this week. In addition, tight end OJ Howard suffered a season-ending Achilles’ injury Sunday. Running back LeSean McCoy left with an ankle injury.

Brady last faced the Bears in Week 7 of the 2018 season at Soldier Field as a member of the Patriots and led a 38-31 win to improve to 5-0 in his career vs. Chicago. TB12 threw for three touchdowns. Believe it or not, Brady has never lost a Thursday game on a short week (he did lose on a Thursday to kick off the 2017 season, but that wasn’t a short week). The Bucs are 1-5 ATS in their past six on Thursday.

Chicago Bears

Many NFL experts believe the Bears were 3-0 frauds entering Week 4 and it sure looks like they are right as Chicago again struggled offensively in a 19-11 home loss to Indianapolis. Nick Foles got his first start under centre with the Bears and wasn’t much of an upgrade on Trubisky, completing 26 of 42 for 249 yards with a pick and late TD. Allen Robinson caught that TD pass and had seven grabs for 101 yards. He’s about the only worthwhile player the team has on offence right now.

Chicago had just 28 yards rushing on 16 carries. The Colts are a very good defensive team, but it was a pathetic offensive effort overall. Chicago is 11-4-1 ATS in its past 16 as a home dog.

NFL Prediction: Who Will Win Buccaneers vs. Bears?

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