Buccaneers vs. Bears Point Spread: NFL Week 4 Odds, Prediction

Jeremy Perry | Updated Sep 25, 2018

mike evans

With Mike Evans pulling down passes, the Buccaneers have the potential to score points in bunches but need to cut down on the mistakes after four turnovers cost them in Week 3.

Tampa Bay
5-11
AT
September 30, 2018, 1:00 PM ET
Soldier Field
Chicago
12-4
Pointspread +3 -115
Moneyline +120
Over / Under o +45.5

57%

Betting Action

43%

Pointspread -3 -105
Moneyline -140
Over / Under u +45.5

57%

Betting Action

43%

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers ran out of Fitz-Magic on Monday Night Football. Now they will try to bounce back on the road against another NFC team that has surprised early on this season. The Buccaneers and Chicago Bears both sit at 2-1 heading in to their Week 4 matchup. Only one of those teams can potentially reach the quarter mark of the year with a 3-1 record and that’s an important mark. Both teams are trying to prove they’re more than a fluky, early win. At 3-1 they could be a playoff contender, but 2-2 indicates they’re still middle-of-the-pack squads.

NFL Point Spread and Betting Analysis

The Buccaneers fell to 2-1 straight up and against the spread (ATS) when they lost to the Steelers as 1.5-point favorites. Tampa Bay had covered the spread in five straight games dating back to last season before that defeat. The Buccaneers have scored 27 points or more in each of their first three games of the season. The over has hit in four of their last five road games dating back to last season.

The Bears are 4-1 against the spread in their last five games overall dating back to last season. Their defence has been the biggest key to their success with the under hitting in five of Chicago’s last six games. The Bears opened the home portion of their schedule with a 24-17 win over the Seahawks back in Week 2. They will look to improve to 2-0 against the spread at home and 3-1 ATS overall when they host Tampa Bay.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

After becoming the first player in NFL history to throw for at least 400 yards and four touchdowns in consecutive games to open the season, Fitzpatrick finally stumbled in Week 3. The veteran quarterback was intercepted three times by Pittsburgh including a pick-six that gave the Steelers a commanding 23-7 first-half lead. Fitzpatrick rallied in the second half with a comeback attempt that fell just short, but still threw for 411 yards and three scores in the loss.

The Buccaneers have the potential to score points in bunches but need to cut down on the mistakes after four turnovers cost them on Monday night. It won’t be easy against an improved Bears defence but Tampa Bay should be able to rally following a strong second half in Week 3. The key will be getting the ball out of the hands of Fitzpatrick a lot quicker as Khalil Mack and the Chicago front-seven attempts to make life miserable for him this Sunday.

Chicago Bears

The Bears defence continued to make big plays in a 16-14 win over the Cardinals in Week 3. Chicago registered four sacks and forced Sam Bradford and rookie Josh Rosen into a combined three interceptions. The Bears have relied heavily on their defence through their first two wins and that will be the case again versus Tampa Bay. The only problem is the Buccaneers have the wide receivers to stretch the field vertically and make big plays. That means second-year quarterback Mitchell Trubisky will be asked to do more than just manage the game. Trubisky went 24-of-35 for 220 yards with an interception against Arizona. He was also sacked three times.

Chicago will try to establish the run game early on with Jordan Howard and Tarik Cohen set to get a ton of touches against the Buccaneers. They don’t want this to be a shootout. If they can control the pace, they’ll win. If the Bucs force the Bears away from running and force the game on Trubisky’s shoulder, it’s a big advantage to Tampa Bay.

Buccaneers vs. Bears Prediction

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