Browns vs. Bears Point Spread: NFL Week 16 Odds, Prediction

Jeremy Perry | Updated Dec 18, 2017

isaiah-crowell-browns

The Cleveland Browns continue their trek towards an 0-16 season.

Cleveland
0-16
AT
December 24, 2017, 1:00 PM ET
Soldier Field
Chicago
5-11
Pointspread +6 -115
Moneyline +230
Over / Under o +36.5

53%

Betting Action

47%

Pointspread -6 -105
Moneyline -280
Over / Under u +36.5

53%

Betting Action

47%

Week 16 figures to be their best remaining chance to get a win as they’ll visit the Pittsburgh Steelers to wrap up their season in Week 17. This week’s opponent, the Chicago Bears, have lost six of their last seven games and haven’t won or covered once as a favorite in the last three years. Can the Browns finally get on the board?

NFL Point Spread and Betting Analysis

The Browns continue to be a disaster, going 0-14 SU and just 3-11 ATS this season. They are 9-30 ATS in their last 39 as a dog and have covered just six of their last 21 on the road. However, the Bears don’t play well as a favorite, failing to cover all seven times that they’ve been the chalk in the last three years. The good news for them is that while they are 6-7-1 ATS in all games this year, they are 4-2 ATS at home. They’ve also covered eight of their last 11 versus the AFC while the Browns have covered just once in their last 11 against the NFC.

Cleveland Browns

Many people thought the Browns would have a good chance to win last week when the Baltimore Ravens visited but the Browns were never in the game. After Baltimore suffered a deflating, last-second loss to their rivals from Pittsburgh, some thought Baltimore might look past the Browns. However, Cleveland continued to do what they’ve done so well all season long: self-destruct. Quarterback DeShone Kizer looks nothing like a starting quarterback, throwing two interceptions and fumbling once as part of the team’s four turnovers. He hit a new low last week, becoming the first quarterback since 2009 to throw for -12 yards or fewer in a quarter.

The Browns have talent on the roster and have been capable of winning many weeks this year. However, these turnovers continue to deflate them. Every time they cough it up, the team just completely melts down. It also looks like Kizer, a young rookie, has really lost his confidence.

If there is a positive, it’s that the Browns run defense ranks seventh in the NFL overall and leads the league in yards per carry allowed. If they can cut off the run – the Bears bread and butter – the Browns would be in better position to steal a win.

Chicago Bears

The Bears have lost six of seven but they have been close. They did lose by 10 last week in Detroit and by 28 at Philadelphia a few weeks ago, but other than that, their five previous losses were by one score or less. For the most part, they have been in their games.

The key for them this week will be to force the Browns into a couple of mistakes. That might be all they need. The Browns have given up the sixth-most sacks while the Bears have generated the sixth-most. On the flip side, the Browns defense is allowing opposing quarterbacks to post a quarterback rating of 102.6 – the best mark in the NFL. Although rookie quarterback Mitchell Trubisky struggled last week, this should be a much easier spot for him.

Some other teams might have looked past the Browns but the Bears are still fighting for head coach John Fox and still developing as a team. This game means something to them.

Browns vs. Bears Prediction

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