Broncos vs. Browns Point Spread: NFL Week 7 Odds, Prediction

Payton Matthews | Updated Oct 19, 2021

The Cleveland Browns host the Denver Broncos to kick off Week 7 in the NFL Thursday night, with potential playoff implications for both teams.

Denver
6-5
AT
October 21, 2021, 8:20 PM ET
FirstEnergy Stadium
Cleveland
6-6
Pointspread +1 -110
Moneyline -105
Over / Under o +40

46%

Betting Action

54%

Pointspread -1 -110
Moneyline -115
Over / Under u +40

46%

Betting Action

54%

It’s a matchup of slumping AFC playoff hopefuls to kick off NFL Week 7 on Thursday night as the Denver Broncos visit the Cleveland Browns.

Cleveland is a 3.5-point favourite to win on the NFL odds, with a total of 42.5.

NFL Point Spread and Betting Analysis

Quite possible this Broncos-Browns matchup has wild-card implications down the road even though both sit last in their division with 3-3 records. Denver almost surely isn’t winning the AFC West and hasn’t played post-season football since the 2015 season, after which Peyton Manning retired. Cleveland ended a long playoff drought last year and could in theory win the AFC North if things get turned around quickly.

Including playoffs, Denver is 24-6 all-time vs. Cleveland. Actually, don’t even mention playoffs to a Browns fan when talking about the Broncos – see John Elway in January 1987 & ’88.

The Broncos have won 12 of the past 13 regular-season matchups including the last in 2019, 24-19 at home – both teams were pretty bad then. The forgettable Brandon Allen was making his first-ever start at QB that day for Denver and had two TD passes but is long gone now. Baker Mayfield threw for 273 yards and a score for Cleveland.

The home team is 4-1 against the spread in the past five meetings.

Denver Broncos

Coach Vic Fangio was on one of the NFL’s hottest seats entering the year, got off it with a 3-0 start and is now back on it following three straight losses. Fangio has not indicated that he’s ready to pull the plug on QB Teddy Bridgewater for Drew Lock – tough to make a QB change on a short week – but this writer could see an in-game change Thursday if Bridgewater struggles. In Sunday’s 34-24 home loss to the Raiders, Bridgewater threw for 334 yards and three scores but it was mostly empty numbers. He was picked off three times and lost a fumble. He has been better in three road games this season with six touchdown passes against only one interception, good for a 110.9 rating.

Top inside linebacker Alexander Johnson tore a pectoral muscle vs. the Raiders and is done for the year. Good young receiver Jerry Jeudy hasn’t played since Week 1 due to an ankle injury and probably won’t return yet. Denver is 11-3 ATS in its past 14 Thursday games.

Cleveland Browns

Cleveland has essentially beaten the three teams it should have beaten this year and lost to three good ones. The Browns had their doors blown off Sunday in a 37-14 defeat to unbeaten Arizona. The NFL’s No. 2 rusher, Nick Chubb, missed the game with an injury and then his stellar backup, former league rushing champion Kareem Hunt, hurt his calf. He’s definitely not playing for a few games at least. Not clear on Chubb yet.

QB Baker Mayfield injured his left (non-throwing) shoulder but says he will play Thursday. WR Odell Beckham also injured his shoulder. While Cleveland’s defence has been torched in back-to-back weeks, Myles Garrett leads the NFL with eight sacks and is a Defensive Player of the Year favourite. Cleveland is 7-3 ATS in its past 10 Thursday games.

NFL Prediction: Who Will Win Broncos vs. Browns?

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