Bills vs. Dolphins Point Spread: NFL Week 17 Odds, Prediction

Jeremy Perry | Updated Dec 26, 2017

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The Buffalo Bills are looking to end their 17-year playoff hiatus. While the playoff spot was in their grips, losses in five of their last eight have pushed them to the fringe.

Buffalo
9-7
AT
December 31, 2017, 4:25 PM ET
Hard Rock Stadium
Miami
6-10
Pointspread -2.5 -130
Moneyline -150
Over / Under o +41.5

84%

Betting Action

16%

Pointspread +2.5 +110
Moneyline +130
Over / Under u +41.5

84%

Betting Action

16%

What the Bills need to happen is to beat Miami on Sunday and then have either the Baltimore Ravens lose, or have both the Los Angeles Chargers and Tennessee Titans lose. Before they look too far ahead, they’ll have to take care of what they can control and win in Miami, a place where they’ve dropped four of their last six.

NFL Point Spread and Betting Analysis

Neither team has been very good against the spread of late. The Dolphins are 2-6-2 against the spread in their last 10 while the Bills have covered just three of their last eight. The Bills have played well as a favorite, though. They have won and covered five of their last six as the chalk. As for Miami, they’ve dropped three straight as a dog in the 2.5-3.5 range (both straight up and ATS).

Buffalo Bills

The Bills come into this week on a big downer. On one hand, it looked like they got screwed by the referees last week right before the half in New England. However, they mailed in their second half effort, made some poor coaching decisions and flopped down the stretch. It was a really deflating loss. It was mostly a microcosm of how their season has gone: close but no cigar.

When the Bills look back on their season, they’ll see so many times where they could have put themselves in better position. They could have pulled out a win late in Carolina, they had a good chance late in Cincinnati, they failed to show up for a Thursday night game against the New York Jets and then they had the Nathan Peterman disaster. And then there was last week.

The good news is the Bills have rebounded from these types of tough losses really well. The challenge is that running back LeSean McCoy is averaging just 59 rushing yards per game over his last six against Miami. The Bills rarely win unless McCoy has a big game.

Miami Dolphins

The Miami Dolphins have had a pretty tough season. As bad as things have been, there appeared to be a small window of making a playoff run a few weeks ago when they beat the Denver Broncos and New England Patriots in back-to-back weeks. Then they lost at Buffalo and seemed a bit hungover from that loss last week at Kansas City. What kind of effort are they going to play with on Sunday?

The Dolphins have now lost seven of their last nine games. Their offense has been pathetic this year, averaging just 17.7 points per game (26th in the NFL). They average a paltry 86.3 rushing yards per game and put way too much burden on Jay Cutler and his arm on a weekly basis.

However, the talent is still there on both sides of the ball here and there are weeks when everything clicks (see: win over the Patriots). Can they get up for this game with keeping the Bills from the playoffs as motivation? They’re only a three-point home underdog, which shows that the odds makers believe this is a very even matchup.

Bills vs. Dolphins Prediction

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