Betting with Bastl: Rodgers Continues to Dominate Bears

David Bastl | Updated Dec 30, 2020

Aaron Rodgers, Packers, 2020

Aaron Rodgers is in the driver’s seat for his third MVP trophy. With another solid effort on Sunday, he'll cement that nomination.

This is the squarest of the square selections, but I really like the Green Bay Packers covering the number this weekend in Chicago. It’s especially good if you got on the number earlier in the week. It opened with the Packers being 4.5-point favourites.

Here’s the bottom line: if the Packers win they clinch the first seed in the NFC conference; if the Bears win they clinch a playoff spot.

Looking at the history of these two teams, to say it’s one-sided is a bit of an insult to the Packers.

Since the start of the 2016 season, Rodgers has faced the Bears eight times and not only has he gone 7-1 in those games, but he’s thrown 16 touchdown passes and just one interception.

Earlier this season, Rodgers and the Packers crushed the Bears 41-25 at Lambeau Field. Rodgers threw four touchdowns in that win. Bears starter Mitch Trubisky is 1-5 against the Packers lifetime.

Aaron Rodgers is in the driver’s seat for his third MVP trophy. With another solid effort on Sunday, he’ll cement that nomination.

NFL Week 15 Betting Two-Minute Drill

Digging deeper into the numbers, every stat points to a Dark green and Gold win. The Packers are 16-5 against the spread in their last 21 games at Soldier Field. They are 19-7 ATS against the Bears in their last 26 meetings, and the favourite in this series (which has usually been Green Bay) is 14-6 ATS in the last 20 games.

The over could be a good consideration with it hitting in five of the last seven meetings in the Windy City.

Bastl’s Bet: Packers -5

Overtime Predictions

Simple scenario for the Cardinals: If they win, they’re in the playoffs. For the Rams, if they win they guarantee they qualify for the post season, but can still make the playoffs with a Bears loss to the Packers.

Under Sean McVay, the Rams have gone 7-0 straight-up and 6-0-1 ATS against the Cards. Something to keep an eye on this week; Jared Goff had surgery on his finger Monday and could be back for the post season. That means the Rams will go with John Wolford, who has thrown as many passes in the NFL as I have (note: I haven’t thrown any.)

The Football team controls their post season destiny. A win and they clinch the NFC East and will host a playoff game. Washington released Dwayne Haskins on Monday morning, so it will be Taylor Heinicke under center unless Alex Smith is a go. Washington is hoping Smith can play in a big way. I’m rolling the dice and saying Smith gets healthy and starts this game. The Football Team under Smith’s guidance has been solid this season. By the way, his 56.3 percent cover rate ranks 12th all-time in the Super Bowl era, just behind Joe Theismann.

Bastl’s Bet: Cardinals +2.5, Washington -1

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