49ers vs. Saints Point Spread: NFL Week 14 Odds, Prediction

Jeremy Perry | Updated Dec 03, 2019

Drew Brees,Saints, 2019

With quarterback Drew Brees sizzling, the Saints are riding a three-game winning streak, and are averaging a healthy 31.3 points per outing.

AT
December 08, 2019, 1:00 PM ET
Mercedes-Benz Superdome
Pointspread +1 -110
Moneyline -105
Over / Under o +45

59%

Betting Action

41%

Pointspread -1 -110
Moneyline -115
Over / Under u +45

59%

Betting Action

41%

The San Francisco 49ers were a force early on this season but have faded a little bit. After winning each of their first 10 games, they’re now just 2-2 in their last four. They’re fresh off a tough 20-17 road loss on a last-second field goal to the Baltimore Ravens and now they’re in danger of falling to the No. 5 seed in the NFC (depending on what the Seattle Seahawks do).

In Week 14, they have a date set with the NFC South-leading New Orleans Saints, who also have a record of 10-2. Coming off 10 days in between games after their win over the Atlanta Falcons on Thanksgiving Thursday, the Saints have a good opportunity to make a statement and claim the top spot in the NFC.

NFL Point Spread and Betting Analysis

The 49ers haven’t often been a dog this season but they’ve covered all three times they were in that role. Taking a look at their recent games, the total has gone over in four of their last six. Moreover, four of the last five games against NFC opponents have gone over too.

As for the Saints, they are 8-2 ATS and 9-1 straight up in their last 10 games. They’re also 5-1 SU in their last six at home and 5-2 SU in their last seven against the 49ers. They’ve played six games this season where the total was from 42.5 and 49 points, and they are 6-0 SU and 5-1 ATS in those games.

San Francisco 49ers

The 49ers have been one of the best teams – if not the best team – in the NFC this year. Before their Week 13 loss to the Ravens, their odds to win the Super Bowl were as short as anyone. Obviously, they’ve taken a bit of a hit now and dropped to +600.

The 49ers have been very good on both sides of the ball this year. For their offense, it has been the run game that has really carried them, sitting second in the NFL in rushing yards at 145.6 per game. Even though they lost in Week 13, Raheem Mostert still managed to rush for 146 yards and one touchdown. The running game has taken a lot of the pressure off Jimmy Garoppolo, which has really helped him be efficient. He has 12 touchdowns and just three picks in his last five games.

As for the defense, it has been at its very best for the 49ers this year. The 49ers defense currently ranks first in total yards allowed (248), first in passing yards allowed (136.9) and second in points-per-game allowed (14.8). We saw just a few weeks ago when the Atlanta Falcons contained Drew Brees and company in New Orleans, and now the 49ers have to do the same

New Orleans Saints

The Saints had an odd setback four games ago where they shockingly lost at home to the Atlanta Falcons but they’ve been back to normal ever since. They’ve picked up three straight wins, averaging a healthy 31.3 points per outing. Quarterback Drew Brees has played, posting 723 total passing yards with seven touchdowns and only one interception during the streak.

Brees isn’t the only player to thank for the offense in recent games. Great play out of receiver Michael Thomas and dynamic running back Alvin Kamara are a big reason this Saints offense is so dangerous. Kamara is on pace for nearly 1400 total yards while Thomas already has 110 receptions (for 1290 yards). That puts him on pace for a record-setting 146.

The key to this game will be the Saints ability to throw the ball as the 49ers enter with the league’s best pass defense. The Saints enter with the league’s ninth-ranked pass offense, so if they can be effective through the air, they’ll find a way to win.

Who Will Win 49ers vs. Saints?

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