2022 Alamo Bowl: Washington (12) vs. Texas (3) Odds, Prediction

Edgar Chaput | Updated Dec 27, 2022

Rome Odunze

The 2022 Alamo Bowl in San Antonio pits the Washington Huskies against the Texas Longhorns. 

December 29, 2022, 9:00 PM ET
Pointspread -3 -104
Moneyline -146
Over / Under o +67


Betting Action


Pointspread +3 -116
Moneyline +122
Over / Under u +67


Betting Action


Get your chips bowl, dip bowl, and soup bowl, and gear up for NCAAF action. Washington arrives as the 12th-ranked side in the country and 3rd in the famous Pac-12. Texas, on the other hand, is 20th in college football and ranks 3rd the Big 12.

Odds makers view the Longhorns as -3.5 favourites on the NCAAF odds. The over-under is expected to be 67.5.

Valero Alamo Bowl Betting Analysis

Since 2010, the Huskies have not fared well in late-season contests. Having partaken in ten such events over that span, the program has only saved honours in four, most recently in Dec 2019 at the Las Vegas Bowl where they mauled the Boise State Broncos 38-7. The 2022 Alamo Bowl also marks their return to New Year’s college action, as the 2019 victory was also the last time they earned a place in a Bowl game.

The Longhorns have participated in one fewer Bowl game since 2010, but the record of 6-3 speaks for itself. What’s more, the school has rattled four consecutive wins at this stage of the season. 2020 was their most recent participation at any event, that being the Alamo, exactly like this year. The game was awash, with Texas prevailing over the Colorado Buffaloes 55-23.

Performances against spreads have told vastly different tales. Washington sports an enviable 10-2 win-loss record on the season. However, that hasn’t translated into much success ATS, as the team has only managed a 7-5 record. 

Texas has equated its 8-4 win-loss record on the season with the exact same tally against the spread. That may still sound disappointing to some fans, but the team’s victories this season have often been quite emphatic. Although they suffered defeat four times, the Longhorns were a tough out each time. 

Texas Longhorns (3)

Longhorns don’t rack up nearly as many yards as their Northwest rivals do per game, but the team’s average output of 430 tells an impressive tale of its own. Balance is the name of the game, as the decent if unspectacular 230.5 passing yards per game greatly benefit from their terrific 199.6 rushing yards.

Bijan Robinson, Roschon Johnson, and third back Jonathan Brooks have earned stunning averages per carry this year (6.1, 6.0, and 7.5 respectively). Robinson is the main guy in the back field, and he’s been good for 1,580 yards through all his games. Add to that his incredible 18 TDs and you have a force to be reckoned with when Texas runs the ball. Of note, the Longhorns have a sound defence, conceding only 21.2 points per game.

Washington Huskies (12)

There really isn’t much to complain about with a 10-2 regular season. QB Michael Penix Jr. has compiled a noteworthy campaign, completing 66% of his passes, to say nothing of his 29-7 TD to INT ratio. In fact, he’s thrown for the second-most yards in college this year, trailing only Austin Reed of Western Kentucky (to be fair, not at all the same conference).

Wide receiver Rome Odunze has also built himself a praise-worthy season. He’s tallied 1,088 yards and 7 TDs. His fellow wideout Jalen McMillan isn’t far behind, with 1,044 total yards and 8 TDs. Clearly, what’s propelled the Huskies to their impressive mark is a high-powered offence. They average 521 total yards per game, good for first in the Pac-12 and second in the country. On the other side of the ball, they were only good for 3rd in the Pac-12. They can get gashed for rushing yards, giving up an average of 127 per game.

Alamo Bowl Prediction: Who Will Win Washington vs. Texas?