Texas Tech vs. Michigan State Bracket Prediction: March Madness Final Four Odds

Payton Matthews | Updated Apr 02, 2019

cassius winston MSU

It’s a Final Four newbie against one of college basketball’s blueblood programs in the second game of the Final Four on Saturday night as No. 3 Texas Tech takes on No. 2 Michigan State.

Texas Tech
April 06, 2019, 8:49 PM ET
U.S. Bank Stadium
Pointspread +2.5 -105
Moneyline +120
Over / Under o +133


Betting Action


Pointspread -2.5 -115
Moneyline -145
Over / Under u +133


Betting Action


The winner of this game faces either No. 5 Auburn or No. 1 Virginia on Monday night for the national title. Both schools rely on toughness and physicality this season.

Texas Tech (3) vs. Michigan State (2) NCAA Tournament Point Spread and Betting

It’s the first-ever Final Four for Texas Tech, which is certainly more well known for its football program – reigning NFL MVP Patrick Mahomes of the Kansas City Chiefs starred there. Coach Chris Beard has done such a fantastic job that he likely will be targeted by more basketball-rich schools very soon. Beard was a former assistant coach at Texas Tech under the legendary Bobby Knight. Beard got noticed nationally for his work as head coach at Arkansas-Little Rock in the 2015-16 season. UNLV hired Beard on March 27, 2016, but when the Texas Tech job came open unexpectedly shortly after he left for Lubbock. UNLV was understanding with his ties to the program and the fact Beard went to school himself in Texas.

Michigan State is in the Final Four for the 10th time in school history and first since 2015. The Spartans are the only team left standing to have won a national championship, doing so in 1979 and 2000. It’s the eighth Final Four trip for Hall of Fame coach Tom Izzo, whose teams are 2-5 in this round.

It’s the first meeting between these programs.

Texas Tech Red Raiders

Big 12 regular-season co-champion Texas Tech wins with defence as the Red Raiders rank No. 1 nationally with an adjusted defensive efficiency of 84.0 points allowed per 100 possessions via KenPom.com. That defence has really been on display in this tournament as only one team has scored more than 58 points, and that was West Region No. 1 Gonzaga, arguably the best offensive team in the country.

The Zags were knocked off 75-69 in the Elite Eight. Texas Tech held Michigan State’s rival, No. 2 Michigan, to an embarrassing 44 points and 1-for-19 shooting from deep in a Sweet 16 blowout. TTU’s best player is guard Jarrett Culver, the Big 12 Player of the Year who will be a lottery pick in the 2019 NBA Draft. He leads the team in scoring (18.9 ppg), rebounding (6.4 rpg) and assists (3.8 apg). The Red Raiders are 11-1 ATS in their past 12 vs. teams with a winning record.

Michigan State Spartans

It’s probably good for Izzo’s group that the Spartans didn’t have a quick turnaround after upsetting No. 1 overall seed Duke on Sunday because a letdown likely would have been coming. That was a sensational game, with Izzo having been just 1-11 against Duke’s Mike Krzyzewski in his career before the 68-67 upset in the East Region final. Sparty has arguably the nation’s top point guard in Big Ten Player of the Year Cassius Winston. He played all 40 minutes against Duke and finished with 20 points, 10 assists, four steals and just one turnover. Winston is the engine that makes this team go.

This is not even close to Izzo’s most talented club – last year’s team had two 2018 NBA lottery picks yet flamed out in Round 2 – but he says it might be his toughest mentally. That’s due to Winston. He will be the focus of the Texas Tech defence. MSU, the Big Ten regular-season and tournament champion, is the more balanced team overall and that should be enough to advance.