Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Denver Nuggets Game 5 Prediction, Odds

Jeremy Perry | Updated Apr 24, 2023

The Minnesota Timberwolves fought valiantly on Sunday to deliver a balanced team effort and their first win of the series.

April 25, 2023, 9:00 PM ET
Pepsi Center
Pointspread +10 -110
Moneyline +384
Over / Under o +220.5


Betting Action


Pointspread -10 -110
Moneyline -480
Over / Under u +220.5


Betting Action


With that, they’ve now forced a Game 5 of their first-round series with the Denver Nuggets and now head back to the Mile High City to try and extend this series once more. Can Denver close things out in Game 5 or will Minnesota cover and/or win again?

Timberwolves vs. Nuggets NBA Playoff Betting Odds

The Timberwolves are 1-4 ATS in their last five games played in the Conference Quarterfinals and are just 2-6 ATS in their last eight games played when getting only one day of rest in between games. As for the total, the under has hit in five of their last six games when coming off a straight-up win in the previous outing. It’s also hit in five of their last six road games against a team with a winning home record. 

Denver has been reliable in bounce back situations, going 6-1 ATS in their last seven games when coming off a straight-up loss in the previous contest. They are also just 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall. Their total has seen the under hit in six of their last seven games played at home and five of their last six when coming off an ATS loss. 

Minnesota Timberwolves

Anthony Edwards had a quiet Game 1 in this series but has been a monster ever since. He just dropped his third straight 30-plus point game in this series and forced a Game 5 to avoid getting swept. His three-pointer at the end of overtime avoided a nearly disastrous blown lead for the Timberwolves and sealed the win. When asked about it, he said that he took it “personally” and wanted to avoid the sweep.

Minnesota’s bench continued to disappoint, though, which is a concern going forward. The starters really came to play as Karl-Anthony Towns had 17 points and 11 rebounds and was instrumental early. Meanwhile, Rudy Gobert had 14 points and 15 rebounds while Mike Conley had 19 points and eight assists. The Wolves did almost choke away a double-digit lead twice throughout this game and that’s the concern here. It really feels like they couldn’t have played better and they still barely won.

Denver Nuggets

The Nuggets were apparently on cruise control throughout this game as they looked toward the sweep. The bench mustered just 12 points, with 11 coming from Bruce Brown, and the starters were dragged along by Nikola Jokic. Jokic had his best game of the playoffs so far with 43 points, 11 rebounds, and six assists showing to keep the Nuggets even remotely close to winning. 

The loss didn’t sit well with the Nuggets, who had the chance to sweep a team for the first time in their franchise’s history. The reality, though, is that they played solid defense but the bench had a bad night and Jamal Murray was eight-of-21 from the field. If a couple of those small things change – and they should since Denver will now be at home – then Denver should get the win in Game 5 and put this series to bed.

Game 5 Prediction: Who Will Win Timberwolves vs. Nuggets?

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