Toronto Raptors vs. San Antonio Spurs Prediction, NBA Odds
The Toronto Raptors continue their road trip on Monday night against the undefeated San Antonio Spurs, who have opened the 2025-26 NBA season with three straight wins and one of the league’s most dominant defences. It’s game four of the campaign for both clubs, but also the back half of a back-to-back, with Toronto coming off a 139–129 loss in Dallas on Sunday.
The Raptors’ high-tempo offence, led by Scottie Barnes, RJ Barrett, and Brandon Ingram, will look to push the pace again against a Spurs squad anchored by Victor Wembanyama, who’s playing at an MVP level early on. San Antonio swept Toronto last season, and the Spurs have won three straight in the head-to-head.
Raptors vs. Spurs NBA Betting Odds
San Antonio enters as a 5.5-point home favourite on the NBA odds after improving to 3-0 with Sunday’s 118-107 win over Brooklyn. The total sits at 234.5 points, reflecting Toronto’s up-tempo attack and recent high-scoring games (all three of which have combined for 238 points or more). The Spurs are 3-0 ATS to start the year, while Toronto is 1-2.
Toronto Raptors
The Raptors (1-2) have been one of the league’s fastest and most exciting teams through the first week, ranking second in pace and thriving in transition. They scored a franchise-record 138 points on opening night and are averaging 127.7 points per game, but their defensive lapses have cost them, ranking 20th in defensive rating and 26th in points allowed in the paint.
Scottie Barnes has continued his ascent with 33 points in Sunday’s loss at Dallas, while Brandon Ingram and RJ Barrett have each averaged more than 20 points per game. The Raptors’ offence relies less on three-pointers and more on fast-break buckets and paint points (they’re fourth in offensive rebounding rate since last season). If Toronto’s defence can hold up inside, their tempo could create issues for a Spurs team that prefers a slower pace.
San Antonio Spurs
The Spurs (3-0) have looked like one of the NBA’s most complete teams early on, combining elite interior defence with steady scoring from multiple options. Victor Wembanyama has been sensational, averaging 33.3 points, 13.3 rebounds and 6.0 blocks per game, while also ranking among the league leaders in steals.
San Antonio has already beaten Dallas, New Orleans and Brooklyn, holding opponents to 105 points per game during that stretch. Second-year guard Stephon Castle has taken a leap as a playmaker, averaging 17 points, 6.0 rebounds and 5.0 assists, while rookie Dylan Harper has provided instant energy off the bench with double figures in all three games. The Spurs may be banged up, with De’Aaron Fox, Kelly Olynyk, and Jeremy Sochan all listed day-to-day, but their depth has shown through early.
Defensively, San Antonio’s rim protection and half-court discipline have been elite, ranking second in defensive rating, though they’ll face their toughest test yet against the Raptors’ pace.
NBA Prediction: Who Will Win Raptors vs. Spurs?
This matchup pits one of the NBA’s fastest offences against one of its stingiest defences. The Raptors will try to force tempo and attack in transition, while the Spurs will aim to slow things down and exploit Toronto’s defensive softness inside.
Expect Wembanyama to find easy opportunities around the rim against a Raptors team that struggles to protect the paint. While Toronto’s speed could keep it close early, San Antonio’s balance and rim protection should take over late.
The Raptors’ recent games have all soared past the total, and the Spurs’ efficient scoring should keep that trend alive, especially given both teams’ willingness to run. Expect San Antonio to prevail by a score of 126-120.
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