Miami Heat vs. Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction, Odds & Stats - January 11, 2026

date	home-away	ats	o/u	OKC:Points	OKC:Assists	MIA:Points	MIA:Assists
02/12/2025	OKC 115 - MIA 101	OKC -14	Under 222.5	101	24	115	22
12/20/2024	MIA 97 - OKC 104	OKC -1.5	Under 217.5	104	24	97	20
03/08/2024	OKC 107 - MIA 100	MIA +8.5	Under 224	100	24	107	28
01/10/2024	MIA 120 - OKC 128	OKC -4	Over 232.5	128	36	120	25
01/10/2023	MIA 112 - OKC 111	OKC +2	Under 224.5	111	27	112	18
12/14/2022	OKC 108 - MIA 110	MIA -3.5	Under 222	110	25	108	26
03/18/2022	MIA 120 - OKC 108	OKC +14.5	Over 219.5	108	19	120	25
11/15/2021	OKC 90 - MIA 103	MIA -9	Under 207.5	103	22	90	26
02/22/2021	OKC 94 - MIA 108	MIA -7	Under 212.5	108	30	94	20
01/04/2021	MIA 118 - OKC 90	MIA -8	Under 214.5	90	20	118	34
08/12/2020	OKC 116 - MIA 115	OKC +1.5	Over 221	115	24	116	20
01/17/2020	OKC 108 - MIA 115	MIA -1	Over 215.5	115	26	108	29
03/18/2019	OKC 107 - MIA 116	MIA +5.5	Over 213.5	116	30	107	21
02/01/2019	MIA 102 - OKC 118	OKC -4.5	Over 219.5	118	23	102	28
04/09/2018	MIA 93 - OKC 115	OKC -2.5	Under 212.5	115	21	93	21
03/23/2018	OKC 105 - MIA 99	OKC -6	Under 215.5	99	22	105	17
12/27/2016	MIA 94 - OKC 106	OKC -4.5	Under 204.5	106	21	94	14
11/07/2016	OKC 97 - MIA 85	OKC -5.5	Under 203.5	85	12	97	24

date	score	ats	o/u	Points	Assists
01/06/2026	MIN 122 - MIA 94	L +5.5	Under 238.5	94	28
01/04/2026	MIA 125 - NO 106	W -7.5	Under 246.5	106	28
01/03/2026	MIA 115 - MIN 125	L +2.5	Over 237.5	125	26
01/01/2026	DET 112 - MIA 118	W +4.5	Under 239.5	118	25
12/29/2025	MIA 147 - DEN 123	W +2.5	Over 243.5	123	29
12/27/2025	MIA 142 - IND 116	W -6.5	Over 231.5	116	30
12/26/2025	ATL 111 - MIA 126	W +4.5	Under 243.5	126	29
12/23/2025	MIA 91 - TOR 112	L -5.5	Under 228.5	112	29
12/21/2025	NY 132 - MIA 125	L +7.5	Over 236.5	125	26
12/19/2025	BOS 129 - MIA 116	L +6.5	Over 233.5	116	27

date	score	ats	o/u	Points	Assists
01/07/2026	OKC 129 - UTA 125	L -18.5	Over 238.5	129	26
01/05/2026	OKC 97 - CHA 124	L -16.5	Under 232.5	97	18
01/04/2026	PHO 108 - OKC 105	L -8.5	Under 229.5	108	21
01/02/2026	GS 94 - OKC 131	W -13.5	Under 226.5	94	23
12/31/2025	OKC 124 - POR 95	W -15.5	Under 233.5	124	29
12/29/2025	OKC 140 - ATL 129	L -15.5	Over 232.5	140	27
12/28/2025	OKC 129 - PHI 104	W -15.5	Over 225.5	129	27
12/25/2025	OKC 102 - SA 117	L -9.5	Under 228.5	102	23
12/23/2025	SA 130 - OKC 110	L -6.5	Over 234.5	130	34
12/22/2025	OKC 119 - MEM 103	W -15.5	Under 227.5	119	20

Miami Heat MIA Oklahoma City Thunder OKC

avg	rank	edge in	rank	avg
120.11	3	Points Per Game	2	121.45
117.41	21	Points Allowed Per Game	1	108.08
93.41	1	Field Goals Attempted Per Game	16	90
1315	19	3 Point Attempts Per Game	13	1412
32.9	20	3 Point Field Goal %	19	33.0
28.73	7	Assists Per Game	17	25.79
11.11	18	Offensive Rebounds Per Game	28	9.24
34.54	4	Defensive Rebounds Per Game	3	34.84
45.65	6	Total Rebounds Per Game	17	44.08
9.59	5	Steals Per Game	2	10.39
4.51	18	Blocks Per Game	6	5.55
14.3	12	Turnovers Per Game	2	12.34
31.78	1	1st Quarter Scoring Per Game	2	31.26
29	11	1st Quarter Scoring Allowed Per Game	2	26.5
29.76	6	2nd Quarter Scoring Per Game	10	29.47
30.32	24	2nd Quarter Scoring Allowed Per Game	1	26.45
29.05	17	3rd Quarter Scording Per Game	2	31.24
29.24	14	3rd Quarter Scoring Allowed Per Game	2	26.79
29.19	7	4th Quarter Scoring Per Game	19	27.79
28.57	21	4th Quarter Scoring Allowed Per Game	8	26.95
32.9	20	% Of Points From 3 Point FG	19	33.0
.540	15	Effective Field Goal %	4	.563
.643	16	True Shooting %	3	.675

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Point Guard Miami	32.0	Points	24.3	Norman Powell Shooting Guard Oklahoma City
Davion Mitchell Point Guard Oklahoma City	7.5	Assists	6.4	Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Point Guard Miami
Kel'el Ware Center Oklahoma City	10.6	Rebounds	10.4	Isaiah Hartenstein Center Miami
Isaiah Hartenstein Center Miami	64.4	FG%	54.8	Kel'el Ware Center Oklahoma City
Cason Wallace Point Guard Miami	2.1	Steals	1.6	Dru Smith Shooting Guard Oklahoma City
Chet Holmgren Center Miami	1.8	Blocks	1.3	Kel'el Ware Center Oklahoma City

team	win	loss	last 10	w/l streak	ats	money	home	away	total
Miami Heat Miami Heat	15	15	5-5	1L	16-14	0	0-0	0-0	14-16
Oklahoma City Thunder Oklahoma City Thunder	26	4	6-4	1W	16-14	0	0-0	0-0	17-13

offence

Miami Heat MIA

Oklahoma City Thunder OKC

defence

Miami Heat MIA

Oklahoma City Thunder OKC

Miami Heat MIA

player (position)	status		ats*current	o/u*	notes
Nikola Jovic (SF)	Prob Tues	Groin - 05 / 01 / 26	0-0	0-0	Details
Keshad Johnson (SF)	Prob Tues	Back - 05 / 01 / 26	0-0	0-0	Details
Jaime Jaquez Jr. (SG)	Ques Sat	Ankle - 04 / 01 / 26	0-0	0-0	Details
Bam Adebayo (C)	Prob Sun	Back - 04 / 01 / 26	0-0	0-0	Details
Nikola Jovic (SF)	Ques Sun	Groin - 04 / 01 / 26	0-0	0-0	Details
Norman Powell (SG)	Ques Sat	Leg - 03 / 01 / 26	0-0	0-0	Details
Nikola Jovic (SF)	Prob Sat	Elbow - 02 / 01 / 26	0-0	0-0	Details
Bam Adebayo (C)	Ques Sat	Back - 02 / 01 / 26	0-0	0-0	Details
Jaime Jaquez Jr. (SG)	Prob Sat	Thigh - 02 / 01 / 26	0-0	0-0	Details
Pelle Larsson (PG)	Ques Sun	Ankle - 02 / 01 / 26	0-0	0-0	Details

Oklahoma City Thunder OKC

player (position)	status		ats*current	o/u*	notes
Chet Holmgren (C)	Out Fri	Leg - 08 / 01 / 26	0-0	0-0	Details
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (PG)	Out Fri	Ankle - 08 / 01 / 26	0-0	0-0	Details
Cason Wallace (PG)	Out Fri	Toe - 08 / 01 / 26	0-0	0-0	Details
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (PG)	Ques Wed	Knee - 07 / 01 / 26	0-0	0-0	Details
Alex Caruso (SG)	Ques Fri	Back - 05 / 01 / 26	0-0	0-0	Details
Isaiah Joe (PG)	Ques Sun	Knee - 04 / 01 / 26	0-0	0-0	Details
Cason Wallace (PG)	Ques Sun	Knee - 03 / 01 / 26	0-0	0-0	Details
Jaylin Williams (PF)	Out indefinitely	Heel - 30 / 12 / 25	0-0	0-0	Details
Isaiah Hartenstein (C)	Out indefinitely	Ankle - 28 / 12 / 25	0-0	0-0	Details
Jaylin Williams (PF)	Ques Mon	Heel - 27 / 12 / 25	0-0	0-0	Details

Team	Win / Loss	ATS	OU
Detroit Pistons DET	28-9	15-12	17-10
New York Knicks NY	24-13	13-15	12-16
Boston Celtics BOS	23-13	16-13	15-14
Toronto Raptors TOR	23-15	14-17	12-19
Philadelphia 76ers PHI	20-15	15-12	17-10
Orlando Magic ORL	21-17	16-14	12-18
Miami Heat MIA	20-17	16-14	14-16
Cleveland Cavaliers CLE	21-18	11-18	15-14
Atlanta Hawks ATL	18-21	19-10	16-13
Chicago Bulls CHI	17-20	13-16	14-15
Milwaukee Bucks MIL	16-21	16-12	19-9
Charlotte Hornets CHA	13-25	16-14	12-18
Brooklyn Nets BK	11-23	16-13	15-14
Washington Wizards WAS	10-26	16-12	19-9
Indiana Pacers IND	7-31	15-15	13-17

Team	Win / Loss	ATS	OU
Oklahoma City Thunder OKC	31-7	16-14	17-13
San Antonio Spurs SA	26-11	19-10	16-13
Denver Nuggets DEN	25-12	16-12	19-9
Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	25-13	13-16	14-15
L.A. Lakers Lakers LAL	23-12	15-13	21-7
Houston Rockets HOU	22-12	15-12	17-10
Phoenix Suns PHO	22-15	19-10	16-13
Golden State Warriors GS	20-18	14-16	19-11
Portland Trail Blazers POR	18-20	14-17	12-19
Memphis Grizzlies MEM	16-21	18-13	21-10
Dallas Mavericks DAL	14-24	14-16	19-11
L.A. Clippers Clippers LAC	13-23	15-13	21-7
Utah Jazz UTA	13-24	19-10	16-13
Sacramento Kings SAC	8-29	11-18	15-14
New Orleans Pelicans NO	8-31	18-13	21-10

Scoreboard	Spread	Moneyline	O/U
Miami Heat 20-17
Oklahoma City Thunder 31-7

Team	Last 5 Matches
Miami Heat MIA ( 20-17 )	L W L W W
Oklahoma City Thunder OKC ( 31-7 )	L L W W W