2019 Kentucky Derby: Predictions and Betting Odds

One of sports betting’s most revered traditions happens this weekend, on the first Saturday of May, when twenty horses compete in the Run for the Roses and for a big payout. The purse for the Derby has been raised to $3 million, a big increase from the $2 million that it’s been since 2005.

The 2018 Kentucky Derby was won by Justify in difficult, wet conditions. Justify went on to win the Triple Crown – only the thirteenth horse to ever claim that title.

Before you place your bet on this year’s race, take a look at our overview of the horses, their post positions, jockey, and of course, their current odds.

UPDATE: Kentucky Derby favorite Omaha Beach has been scratched from the race due to injury.

1. War of Will (Tyler Gaffalione) 15/1

Owned by Gary Barber, War of Will is a son of sire War Front. He won the Lecomte Stakes and Risen Star Stakes at Fair Grounds.

2. Tax (Junior Alvarado) 20/1

Tax is a 3-year-old bay gelding sired by Arch. He won first place in the Withers Stakes. He’ll start from the second position, a spot from which seven horses have won this race, including Triple Crown winner Affirmed in 1978.

3. By My Standards (Gabriel Saez) 15/1

By My Standards is the son of two-time Breeders’ Cup Mile winner Goldencents and dual stakes winner A Jealous Woman.

4. Gray Magician (Drayden Van Dyke) 51/1

The 3-year-old son of Graydar was a runner-up in the UAE Derby, which qualified him for the Kentucky Derby.

5. Improbable (Irad Ortiz Jr.) 5/1

6. Vekoma (Javier Castellano) 15/1

Bred in Kentucky by Alpha Delta Stables, Vekoma’s mother is Grade 1-winning sprinter Mona de Momma. He won his first career start at Belmont Park in September by 1 ¾ lengths.

7. Maximum Security (Luis Saez) 8/1

Winning the Florida Derby earned Maximum Security his spot at the Kentucky Derby. His mother is Lil Indy, by Anasheed, who is a half-sister to two-time Jockey Club Gold Cup winner Flat Out.

8. Tacitus (Jose Ortiz) 8/1

Tacitus is the first foal by five-time Grade 1 winner Close Hatches, by First Defence. He finished fourth in his first race in October at Belmont Park.

9. Plus Que Parfait (Ricardo Santana Jr.) 30/1

Plus Que Parfait earned this opportunity by winning his first stakes in the U.A.E. Derby at Medyan in Dubai. He is the son of Point of Entry and Belvedera.

10. Cutting Humor (Corey Lanerie) 30/1

Cutting Humor is the son of First Samurai and the unraced Pulpit mare Pun. He is a half-brother to the stakes-winning Irish You Well.

11. Haikal (Rajiv Maragh) 30/1

This Gotham Stakes winner is a son of Grade 1 scorer Daaher and the unraced Distorted Humor mare Sablah is a half-brother to Grade 1-winning sprinter Takaful.

12. (SCRATCHED) Omaha Beach (Mike Smith) 4/1

Omaha Beach is half-brother to Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies winner Take Charge Brandi, and his mother, Charming, is a half-sister to Florida Derby winner Take Charge Indy.

12. Code of Honor (John Velasquez) 12/1

Code of Honor ran second in the Champagne Stakes at Belmont. He is the son of multiple Group 1 winner Noble Mission and Reunited, who was a Grade 3 winner on the main track.

13. Win Win Win (Julian Pimentel) 12/1

Sired by Hat Trick and Miss Smarty Pants, by Smarty Jones, Win Win Win finished second to Vekoma in the Blue Grass Stakes on April 6 at Keeneland.

14. Master Fencer (Julien Leparoux) 51/1

A son of Just a Way, Master Fencer has two wins in six starts. He is the the first Japan-bred colt to run in the Kentucky Derby.

15. Game Winner (Joel Rosario) 5/1

Game Winner was sired by Candy Ride out of the A.P. Indy mare Indyan Giving. He has stakes wins in the Del Mar Futurity and the American Pharoah Stakes.

16. Roadster (Florent Geroux) 6/1

Roadster is a son of 2009 Florida Derby winner Quality Road and the stakes-winning Ghost Dancing. He is half-brother to the track record-setting gelding Ascend. Hall of Fame jockey Mike Smith declined the chance to ride Roadster and will instead ride Omaha Beach. Florent Geroux is riding Roadster for the first time.

17. Long Range Toddy (Jon Court) 30/1

Winner of the Clever Trevor and Springboard Mile Stakes, Long Range Toddy is the son of Take Charge Indy and Pleasant Song by Unbridled’s Song/

18. Spinoff (Manny Franco) 30/1

Spinoff was sired by Hard Spun and Zaftig, by Gone West. In his last race he second to By My Standards in the March 23 Louisiana Derby at Fair Grounds.

19. Country House (Flavien Prat) 30/1

Country House was sired by Lookin At Lucky and Quake Lake by War Chant. He finished 3rd in the Arkansas Derby on April 13th.

20. BodeExpress 40/1

2019 Kentucky Derby Winner Prediction

We like Improbable, who is currently listed with 6/1 odds.

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