Tiger Woods vs. Phil Mickelson The Match: Golf Odds, Prediction

Payton Matthews | Updated Nov 20, 2018

tiger vs phil golf betting odds

On a very busy Friday of sports betting options, there’s a new twist this year: A winner-take-all match play event between legendary golfers Tiger Woods and Phil Mickelson.

While some only think of shopping on the day after the American Thanksgiving, otherwise known as Black Friday, it’s one of the best Fridays of the year from a sporting perspective. Both the NHL and NBA have very busy schedules after going dark on Thanksgiving. There’s also an excellent slate of college football, led by the Apple Cup for the Pac-12 North title and Oklahoma-West Virginia for a spot in the Big 12 title game.

Tiger Vs. Phil The Match Betting Analysis

What’s unusual in 2018, however, is a made-for-TV golf event: Tiger Woods and Phil Mickelson playing in a winner-take-all match for $9 million (U.S.) at Shadow Creek Golf Club in Las Vegas. Golf fans will have to pony up, though, to watch as it’s pay-per-view only — Rogers, Shaw and Bell in Canada — and no tickets were sold to attend the event. You can bet some VIP and high-rollers will be on the course, though. The telecast is set to start at 3 p.m. ET.

There has long been talk about staging an event like this between Tiger and Phil, the two most popular and successful golfers of their era, but they didn’t used to be on the friendliest of terms. The rivals, now both into their 40s – Tiger will be 43 next month and Phil is 48 – are on good terms these days. This probably won’t be the last such exhibition duel.

Player & Match Play Odds Breakdown

Match play is much more competitive than stroke play because it’s truly a hole-by-hole contest. A golfer can shoot a 12 on some hole in stroke play and his round is over. In match play, forget it and move to the next tee. Match play also is more conducive to side bets between golfers: closest-to-the-pin, etc. Woods and Mickelson will be betting on the course and for TV cameras to hear, with both donating any of those winnings to charity. The winner of the $9 million also plans to donate a portion of that to charity. Neither Tiger nor Phil needs the money!

Tiger has won 80 PGA Tour events in his career, including a stunning victory at this year’s Tour Championship to announce he was officially back. Woods also has 14 major titles, second-most all-time. Mickelson is a 43-time PGA Tour winner and has won five majors (U.S. Open has eluded him). Tiger and Phil have been grouped a total of 37 times in official Tour events, including the first two rounds of this year’s Tour Championship. Both played the 2018 Ryder Cup for Team USA but both were scoreless as the Americans lost to Team Europe.

Woods is the -227 favourite at Sports Interaction to win the match Friday with Mickelson at +175. Holes can and will be halved; the soonest a player in theory could win the match would be the 10th hole. Tiger is -143 to take the lead first with Lefty at +102.

To win the first hole at Shadow Creek, a par 4, Tiger is +240 and Phil +300 with a draw at -125. And to lead at the turn (after nine holes), Woods is -141 with Mickelson at +175 and a draw +500.

Tiger Woods vs. Phil Mickelson Prediction

This seems to mean more to Phil, who has been playing in Tiger’s shadow for years and been talking more and more smack about this victory. Plus, Mickelson is a notorious bettor on the course and has one of the greatest short games in history. Lefty is your winner.