Stampeders vs. Argonauts Prediction: CFL Week 11 Point Spread, Odds

Daniel Coyle | Updated Aug 18, 2022

The Toronto Argonauts aim to maintain their tenuous grasp on sole possession of first place in the CFL East Division standings when they return home to face the visiting Calgary Stampeders on Saturday in CFL Week 11 action.

Calgary
10-5
AT
August 20, 2022, 7:00 PM ET
BMO Field
Toronto
8-6
Pointspread -1.5 -115
Moneyline -131
Over / Under o +50

85%

Betting Action

15%

Pointspread +1.5 -105
Moneyline +109
Over / Under u +50

85%

Betting Action

15%

The Argos saw their divisional lead cut to two points in the wake of last week’s 34-27 loss in Hamilton. The Stampeders are also on the rebound after dropping a 41-40 decision to BC last weekend that marked their third loss in four outings.

The Argonauts look to Saturday’s contest as 2.5-point home underdogs, but sport -105 odds of covering that spread. The Stampeders are perched as -140 favourite, and the total is listed at a lofty 50.0 on the CFL odds.

CFL Odds and Betting

Saturday night’s matchup at BMO Field marks the first of two regular season meetings between these squads. The Argonauts eked out a narrow 23-20 win when they visited Calgary a year ago, but have otherwise been dominated by the Stampeders, who took home the win in 12 of their previous 13 clashes. However, Toronto has held the edge at the sports books in recent head-to-head contests, going 2-0-1 against the spread in their past three dates with the Stamps. Calgary has also been regularly pegged as betting chalk when facing the Argos, sporting negative odds in 15 straight meetings, but has won and covered in just two of five dates with Toronto when favoured by three or fewer points.

Low scoring has been common place when these teams meet. The total has topped 44 just twice during a steady 6-1-0 run for the UNDER in totals betting. The UNDER has also prevailed in six of their past eight tilts in Toronto.

Calgary Stampeders

The Stampeders’ recent defensive woes continued in last weekend’s loss to the Lions. The team jumped out to an early double-digit lead on the strength of a pair of scoring tosses by Bo Levi Mitchell, along with a second-quarter pick-six by Folarin Orimolade. However, the Stamps had little success containing the vaunted Lions attack after recess.

While the Stampeders struggled to move the ball out of their own territory, the Lions staged an impressive rally before sealing the win with a game-winning field goal in the dying seconds. Lions passer Nathan Rourke enjoyed a big day, racking up 488 passing yards and two scores against two picks. That comes in stark contrast to the Stamps stingy play in their 17-3 Week 9 win in Ottawa. Overall, this team has now allowed 33.7 points per game during the three losses on their current 1-3-0 run.

Toronto Argonauts

Poised to extend their lead atop the East going into last weekend’s date with Hamilton, the Argos let a fourth-quarter lead slip away in their 34-27 loss, and now sit just two points up on both the Tiger-Cats and Montreal Alouettes. While McLeod Bethel-Thompson was steady under centre, compiling 287 yards and tossing one scoring pass, the Boatmen’s ground game disappointed once again. AJ Ouelette mustered a season-high 47 yards, veteran rusher Andrew Harris continued to struggle, tallying just 19 yards, and has now failed to reach 20 yards in two of three outings. Harris’ underperformance has not helped a beleaguered Argos ground game, which ranks last in the league in every major rushing category.

CFL Prediction: Who Will Win Stampeders vs. Argonauts?

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