Argonauts vs. RedBlacks Prediction: CFL Week 14 Point Spread, Odds

Daniel Coyle | Updated Sep 08, 2022

The Ottawa RedBlacks will try to elbow their way back into the playoff picture in the East when they host the division-leading Toronto Argonauts on Saturday in a CFL Week 14 matchup.

Toronto
11-7
AT
September 10, 2022, 2:00 PM ET
TD Place Stadium
Ottawa
4-14
Pointspread -1.5 -110
Moneyline -125
Over / Under o +48

77%

Betting Action

23%

Pointspread +1.5 -110
Moneyline +104
Over / Under u +48

77%

Betting Action

23%

The RedBlacks ride their first two-game win streak of the season after tallying a 38-24 win in Montreal last weekend, but have work to do to snap an eight-game slide on home turf that dates back to last October. The Argonauts are coming off back-to-back wins over the Hamilton Tiger-Cats, capped by a lopsided 28-8 victory in last week’s Labour Day Classic, and currently hold a four-point lead over second-place Montreal in the East Division standings.

The Argonauts have held steady since opening as 2-point road favourites, and command the support of 90 per cent of sports bettors. The total has climbed slightly to 48.0 since opening at 47.5 on the CFL odds. However, the betting action has been split evenly between the OVER and UNDER.

CFL Odds and Betting

Saturday afternoon’s matchup at TD Place Stadium marks the second of three regular season meetings between these teams this year. The RedBlacks stunned the Boatmen with a 23-13 victory as 4-point underdogs when they visited Toronto back in Week 8. However, the Argos have otherwise dominated in head-to-head action, claiming the win in 13 of 17 clashes since 2014, including a 5-2-0 mark in their past seven trips to the Nation’s Capital. Recent meetings between these teams have tended to be low scoring, with the total reaching 50 just once in their past five. Accordingly, the UNDER has paid out in three of their past four tilts.

Overall, the Argonauts have steadily emerged as a solid bet this season, covering the spread in six of their past nine games. They have also won and covered in two previous outings as road chalk this season, and knocked off the RedBlacks 23-20 as 10.5-point favourites when they last visited Ottawa in November.

Losers in six straight to open their schedule, the RedBlacks have quickly salvaged their season with three straight road wins. However, they have posted just one win in 20 home dates since 2019, and have lost and failed to cover in four straight when pegged as home underdogs by three or fewer points.

Toronto Argonauts

The Argos defence deserves huge credit for the team’s current two-game win streak. Toronto didn’t surrender an offensive score and shutdown the Ti-Cats after recess in last week’s 28-8 victory. That win comes on the heels of an equally stingy performance in which they limited the Ti-Cats to just four points in the second half of a 37-20 victory over Hamilton on home turf two weeks ago.

Overall, Toronto has surrendered just 16.7 points per game over their past three outings, and now sport the league’s third-ranked defence, trailing only Winnipeg and BC. Up front, McLeod Bethel-Thompson has remained steady under centre, connecting on five scoring passes over the past two games. But his four interceptions over the past three outings remain a cause for concern.

Ottawa RedBlacks

The RedBlacks took full advantage of an Alouettes squad undergoing a midseason overhaul. Ottawa took advantage of Montreal mistakes to seize an 18-10 halftime lead that they would not relinquish on their way to a blowout 38-24 win. The offensive outburst represents a pleasant about-face for the RedBlacks, who have now averaged 31.5 points over their past two games after mustering 17 or fewer points in five of their first nine outings.

Nick Arbuckle showed signs of busting out while tossing for 313 yards and his first touchdown since June. However, he faces a challenge to duplicate that effort against a stingy Toronto pass defence that has allowed just one scoring pass while racking up five picks over their past two games.

CFL Prediction: Who Will Win Argonauts vs. RedBlacks?

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