Texans vs. Jaguars Point Spread: NFL Week 3 Odds, Prediction
The Houston Texans will be playing on short rest when they visit the Jacksonville Jaguars as part of the NFL’s Week 3 lineup on Sunday afternoon. Houston lost a Monday Night Football thriller against Tampa Bay, falling to 0-2 for the season. Jacksonville is 1-1 after squandering a fourth-quarter lead against Cincinnati this past weekend.
The Texans have absolutely dominated this AFC South rivalry matchup. They are 31-15 all-time, and 12-2 in the last 14. Although Houston took both matchups during the 2024 campaign, the margin of victory was a combined seven points.
NFL Point Spread and Betting Analysis
The Jaguars come in as -1 favourites (-115) on the NFL odds board, making the Texans +1 underdogs (-105). On the money line, the home side has -120 odds and the visitors are +100 underdogs. The game total is 44.5 points, with both the Over and the Under priced at -110.
Houston is 0-3 against the spread in its latest three games dating back to last season’s playoffs, while Cincinnati is 3-1 ATS in its last four and 8-4-1 ATS in its previous nine. The Under is 3-0 in the Texans’ last three overall and 5-3 in the Bengals’ previous eight. Additionally, the Under is 3-0 in the last three head-to-head contests and 10-4 during these teams’ latest 14 meetings.
Houston Texans
Winless through two games, Houston is already close to being in a must-win situation. This is a team in turmoil with an especially large number of question marks on the offensive side of the ball after scoring just nine points against the Rams in Week 1 and 19 in Week 2 against Tampa Bay. An already shaky offensive line got worse when the Texans traded Laremy Tunsil to the Commanders during the offseason, while running back Joe Mixon could miss the entire season due to a foot injury.
New RB1 Nick Chubb scored a late touchdown on Monday night, but the running game has otherwise been slow to get going. Houston is averaging just 99 yards per game on the ground.
Jacksonville Jaguars
Jacksonville will likely move the football in a much different way compared to Houston on Sunday. Quarterback Trevor Lawrence has been mistake-prone so far this season, having already thrown three interceptions. That gives the Jaguars all the more reason to keep the ball on the ground, as they lead the entire NFL with 169.5 rushing yards per game. Travis Etienne has gained 214 yards on 30 carries.
No. 2 overall pick Travis Hunter has played 61% of his team’s offensive snaps and 37% on defence. He could get a heavy workload on each side against the pass-happy Texans. Moreover, fellow wide receiver Brian Thomas Jr. (wrist) and fellow cornerback Jarrian Jones (back) are questionable.
Who Will Win Texans vs. Jaguars?
The Jaguars have played one game at home so far this season and easily handled the Panthers 26-10. Carolina is indeed nothing special, but at this point in the season, neither is Houston. The Texans’ first round trip of this 2025 campaign (at the Rams) resulted in only nine points and 265 total yards of offence.
There is no denying that Houston has held the upper hand in this matchup of late, but this year’s version of the Texans is looking worse than usual. Jaguars 24, Texans 20 feels like a reasonable score.
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