Switzerland vs. Italy: Euro 2024 Round of 16 Odds, Prediction
The Italians are +140 favourites to win on the Euro 2024 odds, while the Swiss are +225 underdogs and a regulation draw is +195.
Switzerland vs. Italy Betting Odds
Just a reminder now that group stage play is over, no matches can end in an overall draw as they go to penalty shootouts if still tied after extra time. The winner here faces either England or Slovakia in the quarterfinals on July 6, most likely England. Italy beat the English in the Euro 2020 final on penalty kicks.
To repeat, Italy is +1600, while also +600 to reach the final, +275 for the semifinals and -135 for the quarterfinals. On the stage of elimination prop, losing this match is +110, with falling in the quarters at +175, losing in the semis +700 and finishing runner-up +850.
Switzerland is +3300 to win this tournament for the first time, +900 to reach the final, +400 for the semifinals and +110 for the quarterfinals. On the stage of elimination prop, losing Saturday is -155, in the quarters +225, the semis +800 and final +1200.
Italy and Switzerland have met 61 times, the most common opponent for each country. Italy has 29 wins, the Swiss eight and 24 draws. Five of the past six have been draws, including the last matchup in November 2021 in World Cup qualifying as that finished 1-1. Italy is unbeaten in 11 straight in the series dating to 1994 with five of those wins. That both teams score Saturday is +115 with no at -155.
Switzerland
The Swiss, ranked 19th in the world, have advanced to the knockout round of the European Championship for a third straight tournament but have yet to get past the quarterfinals in their history. Switzerland finished second in Group A play with five points following a 3-1 win over Hungary in the opener and then 1-1 draws with Scotland and group winner Germany. Five different players have scored the five Swiss goals. Those five goals are a tournament record for the Swiss in a group stage, breaking the mark of four at Euro 2020. Dan Ndoye had the lone goal vs. the Germans, his first goal for the national team in his 14th appearance. Ndoye was 23 years and 242 days against Germany, becoming the second-youngest scorer for the Nati at a European Championship behind Johan Vonlanthen, who was 18 years and 141 days vs. France at Euro 2004. Ndoye is +350 for an anytime goal Saturday. Excluding penalty shootouts, Switzerland has just one loss in its past 13 Euro matches (four wins, eight draws).
Italy
The Italians, ranked 10th in the world, finished Group B stage play with four points following a 2-1 win over Albania, 1-0 loss to Spain (group winner) and a 1-1 draw with Croatia in the finale on Monday. Italy needed a 98th minute goal — in the eighth and final minute of injury time – against Croatia from Mattia Zaccagni to earn the point or it might not have advanced. Coach Luciano Spalletti made a major change following the Spain loss and ahead of facing Croatia in switching from a 4-3-3 to 3-5-2 scheme. Italy is fourth at Euro 2024 in touches (759.7 per match) and pass attempts (605.7) but averaging just 0.09 shots per possession (22nd) and putting only 27 per cent of its shots on target (20th). The Azzurri still have not lost two straight European Championship matches in their history or dropped back-to-back major final tournament games since the 2014 FIFA World Cup, when they were beaten by Costa Rica and Uruguay. That streak will continue. Italy is in the knockout round at the Euros for the fifth straight tournament. Zaccagni is +475 for an anytime goal Saturday.
