Sweden vs. Poland Prediction: 2020 Euro Betting Odds

Payton Matthews | Updated Jun 22, 2021

emil forsberg sweden euro

Sweden could win Group E of the Euro 2020 tournament on Wednesday with a victory over Poland, which also would advance to the knockout round with a victory.

It’s noon Eastern time start from Saint Petersburg Stadium in Russia. The Poles are +148 slight favourites on the soccer odds with the Swedes at +180 and a draw +220 on the soccer odds.

Sweden vs. Poland Betting Odds

Sweden v Poland

  • Poland +132
  • Draw +242
  • Sweden +189

On the draw no bet odds, Poland is -133 and Sweden -103. The total is set at 2.5 goals with the under a -149 favourite. To score first, Poland is -108 and Sweden +108 with no goals at +800. That only Poland scores is +320 and only Sweden +380. That both do is -111.

To win Group E, Sweden is a -126 second-favourite behind Spain (-123), which faces Slovakia (+1261) also at noon on Wednesday. Poland is +1820. The Poles are -200 to advance to the knockout round and +149 to miss out. There are no odds on Sweden, which we will explain below. To win the tournament, Sweden is +6790 and Poland +21700.

This is the 27th all-time meeting between these countries. Sweden has won the past five, most recently 3-1 in a 2004 friendly.

Team Sweden

Because of results on Monday at Euro 2020, the Swedes will advance to the knockout round at worst as one of the four best third-place teams. Sweden is atop Group E with four points and in goal differential at plus-1. If the country wins here, it wins the group. If the Swedes draw, they would still win the group if Slovakia and Spain draw. If Sweden draws and Spain wins, it would come down to tiebreakers to win the group. Sweden would come in third place with a loss and if Spain or Slovakia wins.

Sweden opened the tournament with a scoreless draw vs. Spain and then beat Slovakia 1-0 on Friday thanks to a 77th-minute penalty kick goal from Emil Forsberg. He was the first Swedish player to score at a European Championship since Sebastian Larsson in 2012. The Swedes’ only goal at Euro 2016 was an own goal. The country is unbeaten in 2021 overall with six wins and one draw, allowing just one goal. Forsberg is +440 for an anytime goal in this match.

Team Poland

Poland is last in Group E with one point and a minus-1 goal differential but still could win it with a victory here, Slovakia-Spain draw and the right tiebreakers. A Poland win and either a victory by the Spaniards or Slovaks would see the Poles finish second in the group and advance. Poland will not move on with either a draw or loss – so, even though Sweden has been the better side this tournament, that’s why Poland has shorter odds to win: More motivation.

The country opened the tournament with a 2-1 loss to Slovakia but drew 1-1 with Spain on Saturday. Superstar Robert Lewandowski earned the point with a 54th-minute goal. He has now scored 67 goals in 121 appearances for Poland and is the first player for the country to score at three different European Championships. Lewandowski is the +114 favourite as an anytime scorer in this match. Poland may be without midfielder Jakub Moder due to a knee injury, however. The Poles have just one victory overall in their past nine matches, a 3-0 win over Andorra in a March World Cup qualifier.

Sweden vs. Poland Prediction

Sweden 1, Poland 1