Netherlands vs. France Prediction: Euro 2024 Betting Odds

Payton Matthews | Updated Jun 19, 2024

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One of the most anticipated matchups of the Euro 2024 group stage from Germany is Friday as Group D leaders the Netherlands and France meet.

The match at Leipzig Stadium has the French at +125, the Dutch +210 and a draw +240. Whether French superstar Kylian Mbappe plays is up in the air.

Netherlands vs. France Odds

The Netherlands and France were considered clearly the two best teams in Group D and both won their first matches so they are tied atop it with three points. If one club wins this match, it would all but punch a ticket to the knockout round (also depends on what happens in the earlier Poland-Austria match).

To win Group D, France is -185 and the Netherlands +180 with that order first and second at +125 and vice versa at +225. To advance, the French are -10000 and Dutch -2500. 

How to Bet on Euro 2024

On the draw no bet odds, France is -165 and the Netherlands +120. The total for the match is set at 2.5 goals, with the under at -125 and over -110. To score first, the French are -120, the Dutch +120 and no goals +775. That both score is -135 with no at -105. That France wins and both teams score is +333, while the Netherlands winning and both scoring is +475. That both do and it’s a draw is +333. The French to win and Dutch not to score is +275 and vice versa is +425.

This will be the 31st all-time match between the countries with France winning 15, the Netherlands 11 and four draws, although the Dutch hold the overall goals edge 57-53. They played twice in Euro 2024 qualifying with France winning 4-0 at home and 2-1 in Amsterdam.

Netherlands

The Dutch rallied for a 2-1 win over Poland in their first match on goals from Cody Gakpo in the 29th minute and substitute Wout Weghorst in the 83rd — just two minutes after entering the action late in the game. It was his third straight game scoring for the national team, and Weghorst now has seven goals in his past 11 with The Oranje. Gakpo, meanwhile, has scored in four successive major tournament group matches for the Netherlands (three in the 2022 World Cup and then against Poland).

At 21 years and 303 days on Sunday in the match, Bart Verbruggen became the youngest goalkeeper to appear at a European Championship since Spain’s José Ángel Iribar (21 years and 108 days) in 1964. The Dutch have now beaten 18 different nations at a European Championship and only Germany has beaten more with 19.

France

Any owner of a soccer team on this planet if given one player to start a franchise with today would pick French superstar Kylian Mbappe because he’s only 25 years old and already might be the world’s best player with the likes of Cristiano Ronaldo and Lionel Messi at the end of their careers. Mbappe broke his nose in France’s 1-0 opening win over Austria and could sit Friday but as of now may not require surgery that would end Mbappe’s tournament. He could return against Poland in the group stage finale on June 25 if required, should his nose feel better.

This competition is Mbappe’s first as French captain. He now has 18 career shot on goal at the Euros (2020 and 2024) and yet to score a goal but nearly did against Austria. France technically didn’t score against Austria as that one tally was an own goal by Austria defender Max Wober shortly before halftime. Only two of France’s last 29 Euro matches have finished scoreless. It was the 100th career victory for manager Didier Deschamps with Les Bleus. 

Netherlands vs. France Prediction

France 1, Netherlands 1

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