This is a must-win match for both squads. The Germans need a win to have a shot at winning Group F, while the Hungarians know a loss or draw would eliminate them from the tournament.
With both teams still looking to lock up a spot in the knockout round, there’s a lot on the line for Germany and Hungary when they meet in Munich on Wednesday in Group F action. Germany made up for an opening match loss to France by thrashing Portugal 4-2. Hungary started their tournament out with a big loss to Portugal, but rebounded with a 1-1 draw against France. Barring a blowout win, Hungary is all but done in this tournament. Germany, on the other hand, is in a solid position and they are guaranteed a top-16 spot with a draw or win.
Germany vs. Hungary Betting Odds
After Germany’s six-goal total against Portugal, the Over/Under has been raised to 3.5 goals for this match, with the Under favoured at -135 and the Over at +106. On ‘draw no bet’, Germany is -2500 and Hungary is +760. Germany’s Serge Gnabry and Timo Werner are both +440 favourites to score first and +104 favourites to be anytime scorers. The favoured exact result in the match is a 2-0 Germany win at +420. Germany is now the favourite to win Group F at -115, while Hungary is a -3333 favourite to finish last.
The ‘Group of Death’ earned its reputation for entertaining matches in Germany’s last outing. Trailing Portugal by a goal early in the game, Germany put on a shooting display thanks to strikes from Kai Havertz and Robin Gosens as well as two Portuguese own goals. Because of the win, the Germans are in a great position to qualify for the knockout stage for the fourth straight Euros. They’ll actually finish first in the group if they beat Hungary and France draws or loses to Portugal. Germany hasn’t won the tournament since 1996, but after making the semis in the last two tournaments, manager Joachim Low looks like he’ll guide this German squad on a deep run in his last tournament in charge.
Low may have some tough decisions to make against Hungary, as two veterans of the 2014 World Cup Championship team haven’t looked 100 per cent healthy. Thomas Muller has been dealing with a knee injury and he could be out of action until the quarterfinals, which would mean Leroy Sane would take his place for the next two matches. Mats Hummels is also dealing with a knee injury, though it looks like he’ll start on Wednesday. If Hummels can’t go, Niklas Sule would take his spot.
After an opening match loss, Germany quieted all the naysayers with a huge win in their last outing. Playing with momentum at home is a big benefit in this tournament. Germany’s technical ability is vastly superior to Hungary and if their hit-or-miss strikers are on their game, this could be a blowout.
Hungary entered Group F as the odd man out. Up against three powerhouse nations, they were almost completely overlooked until their 1-1 draw with tournament-favourite France. Atilla Fiola’s first-half strike gave the Hungarians a lead they couldn’t hold onto, but it was still enough to earn a draw against arguably the best team in the world, and keep their tournament hopes alive. Hungary can secure second place if they win on Wednesday and France beats Portugal. It will be an interesting matchup against Germany, as several Hungarian players play in the Bundesliga and know the Germans well.
Hungary’s attack could be dealt a big blow before this match even begins. Veteran striker Adam Szalai was subbed off in the first half against France after a blow to the head. Manager Marco Rossi said it was a precautionary move, but there’s word Nemanja Nikolic will replace Szalai in the starting XI. The only other injury issue on this squad is the knee injury Daniel Gazdag suffered against Portugal, which forced him out of the tournament.
The Hungarians already proved themselves against France, now they need to do it one more time against Germany. The one thing all the scenarios that would see Hungary advance to the knockout round have in common, is Hungary needs to win. It’s as simple as that for this squad. A win and they still have a chance, anything else and they’re out. It can be a powerful motivator and as France found out, don’t take this team for granted.
Germany vs. Hungary Score Prediction
Germany 2, Hungary 0