Belgium vs. Portugal Prediction: Euro 2020 Betting Odds

Payton Matthews | Updated Jun 24, 2021

While Belgium has three of the best players in the world in Romelu Lukaku, Kevin De Bruyne and Eden Hazard, no star is bigger than Portugal’s Cristiano Ronaldo. Sunday's Round of 16 match between top-5 ranked teams Belgium and Portugal has the makings of an all-time classic.

The marquee matchup from the Round of 16 in the Euro 2020 tournament is easily Sunday’s showdown between powerhouses Belgium and Portugal with a 3 p.m. Eastern start time from Estadio Olimpico de la Cartuja in Seville. Belgium is a +126 favourite to win on the soccer odds, with Portugal +200 and a regulation draw +213.

Belgium vs. Portugal Betting Odds

On the draw no bet odds, Belgium is -147 and Portugal +107. The total is set at 2.5 goals, with the under a -142 favourite. To score first, Belgium is -115, Portugal +113 and no goals +820. That only Belgium scores is +320 and only Portugal +441, with both teams scoring -112.

That there will be overtime is +190 with no -278 and an overtime goal +310 with no -714. A penalty shootout is +400 with no -769. To win the tournament, Belgium is +830 and Portugal +1073. Belgium’s favoured stage of elimination is this round at +105, while Portugal’s is also this round at -143.

The winner of this match would face the Italy/Austria winner (that match is Saturday) in the quarterfinals on July 2.

Portugal is unbeaten in the past five in this series. The sides most recently met in a June 2018 friendly and it was a 0-0 draw. The last matches in a major tournament were in 2007 in qualifying for Euro 2008 and Portugal won both. Overall, Portugal has won six, lost five and drawn seven vs. Belgium.


The No. 1-ranked team in the world looked every bit the part in group stage play, joining the Italians and Dutch as the only countries to finish with a perfect nine points. Belgium had a goal differential of plus-6 in beating Russia 3-1, Denmark 2-1 and Finland 2-0. Arguably no team in Euro 2020 has a better trio than Belgium’s Romelu Lukaku, Kevin De Bruyne and Eden Hazard.

Lukaku has three goals in this tournament, De Bruyne a goal and two assists and Hazard an assist. Lukaku also led Belgium with seven goals in Euro 2020 qualifying, in which the Red Devils won all 10 matches by a combined score of 40-3. At the 2018 World Cup, Lukaku led Belgium to a third-place finish by finishing tied as second-highest goalscorer and won the Bronze Boot. He is +149 for an anytime goal in this match. Belgium has yet to win this tournament and lost in the quarterfinals in 2016, 3-1 in an upset vs. Wales.


Portugal is ranked No. 5 in the world and of course won Euro 2016. The side was in the “group of death” this year, Group F, and finished third behind France and Germany. Portugal had a win (3-0 vs. Hungary), loss (4-2 to Germany) and draw (2-2 vs. France) to finish with four points and a goal differential of plus-1. One concern is the defence, as the six goals allowed are tied for fifth-most in this tournament.

While Belgium has three of the best players in the world, no star is bigger than Portugal’s Cristiano Ronaldo. He scored both goals on penalties in the draw against France – a loss and Portugal may not have advanced – and leads this tournament with five goals. Those are the most in a European Championship group stage since France’s Michel Platini scored seven times in 1984. In addition, Ronaldo’s 109 career international goals sees him tied Iran’s Ali Daei for the all-time record. Ronaldo is the first player in World Cup and European Championship history to score a combined 20 goals across the two competitions (has 21). He is +116 for an anytime goal in this match.

Belgium vs. Portugal Score Prediction

Belgium 1, Portugal 1 (regulation)