Toronto FC vs. San Jose Earthquakes MLS Preview and Prediction

The MLS showcases another round of spectacular soccer this week as Toronto FC take on the Western Conference leaders San Jose. The Earthquakes have only lost one game this season, while Toronto have drawn the most in the league – so the Canadian side will need to endure.

Catch an exciting cross-conference kickoff on matchday 11 of the MLS season with Toronto FC vs. San Jose Earthquakes kicking off at 1 p.m. ET on Saturday.

Toronto FC vs. San Jose Earthquakes MLS Odds and Betting Trends

This will be the 20th time these teams have confronted each other since 2008, as the Earthquakes lead by just one win with six. Eight draws have come out of this fixture, with the last three matchups ending in a tie – including a 0-0 draw in their last meeting in 2023.

The frontrunning Earthquakes are +105 away favourites on the MLS odds in this one, while Toronto stand strong at home as +220 underdogs. A draw is priced at +255 considering the Canadians’ abundance of draws this season and the tendency for this fixture to end in a tie.

Toronto FC

Toronto FC will get a run for their money in this bout, as the side with three draws in their last five games confronts a team with no draws this season. Toronto have improved on their goal ratio in just 10 matches, nearly halfway towards their count from last season in 34 games total. However, they still deploy low-risk defensive tendencies to close out games, resulting in a pattern of draws – as seen against the Union, Austin FC, Cincinnati and the Red Bulls. Three of their most recent draws came in April, and they were completely knocked out of form with their most recent 2-1 loss to 13th place Atlanta United. All things considered, it will take some spectacular counter-play from Toronto’s highest-quality players to outdo the top-scoring team in the MLS.

Toronto FC have just one player on the team with three goals, as Daniel Salloi is priced at +255 to find the back of the net over the weekend. Only American striker Joshua Sergent (2) is more likely to score than his teammate at +205.

San Jose Earthquakes

The Earthquakes are not only having an incredible start to the season with nine wins, but they are strong candidates for the US Open Cup after recently qualifying for the quarterfinals by defeating Minnesota 4-2 on Tuesday. In all competitions, they are on an eight-game win streak, with no losses or draws this month, and have 18 goals to show for their five April matches. Since their only defeat to the Sounders on March 15, the team has defeated formidable opponents, including the Whitecaps, San Diego FC and LAFC.

San Jose are one of the few teams harbouring multiple goal scorers with four or more goals, including Timo Werner, Ousseni Bouda and Preston Judd, while also carrying the top assister in the league – Niko Tsakiris (6). Judd and his six goals lead the way in anytime scoring at +150 odds, with Werner (4) and Bouda (5) right behind their teammate at +205 and +210, respectively. Expect one of the three to take home a goal in this matchup.

MLS Prediction: Who Will Win Toronto FC vs. San Jose Earthquakes?

When Toronto plays, draws are always a possibility, and with the Canadian team at home for this one, it’s even more likely. However, after seeing enough of San Jose’s games, the ‘Quakes have proven they can outmatch the toughest of opponents, winning the majority of their games by more than a one-goal margin.

San Jose have not lost a game on the road this season, and if Toronto can’t match the offensive threats from the Earthquakes front line – especially that of Werner, Judd and Ousseni – it will only be a matter of time before San Jose seals the victory. Overall, a 3-1 win seems likely for San Jose, so take the Earthquakes moneyline and sprinkle the -1.5 spread at good odds.