Netherlands vs. Japan Prediction: FIFA World Cup Betting Odds and Picks
Both teams have plenty of quality, and both have done considerably well in their qualifications and friendlies leading up to this point.
You won’t want to miss out on this high-stakes group opener between the Netherlands and Japan at Dallas Stadium, with kickoff set for 4 pm ET sharp.
Netherlands vs. Japan: How to Watch and Match Info
Find out more info on where to tune in to Group F’s first matchups below:
June 14, 4:00 pm ET at Dallas Stadium, Arlington, TX
Streaming on TSN, TSN.ca, and the TSN App.
Dallas Stadium is indoors, but the weather in the area is forecast to be 30°C with heavy thunderstorms, 66% precipitation, 70% humidity
Netherlands vs. Japan Group F Match Betting Odds
The Netherlands enter this game as +105 favourites to pick up the win, while Japan are +260 to pull the upset. A stalemate is priced at +250. In terms of goals, you can get over 2.5 at -108 while under 2.5 is priced at -118.
Netherlands vs. Japan: Predicted Starting XI Lineups
This year’s Dutch squad features a star-studded lineup and bench, as the team will likely play a 4-3-3 to start their 12th World Cup run:
Netherlands predicted starting XI (4-3-3):
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- GK: Bart Verbruggen
- Defenders: Micky van de Ven (LB), Virgil van Dijk (CB) Jan Paul van Hecke (CB), Denzel Dumfries (RB)
- Midfielders: Tijani Reijnders (CM), Frenkie de Jong (CM), Ryan Gravenberch (CM)
- Attackers: Cody Gakpo (LW), Memphis Depay (CF), Donyell Malen (RW)
Japan won’t go down easy despite their favoured opponents, as the team has done spectacularly in toppling Brazil, South Korea, and England in friendlies. Japan will most likely rep their same 3-4-2-1 “wing-back” style for their eighth World Cup.
Japan predicted starting XI (3-4-2-1):
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- GK: Zion Suzuki
- Defenders: Tsuyoshi Watanabe (CB), Shogo Taniguchi (CB), Hiroki Ito (CB)
- Midfielders: Ritsu Doan (RWB), Kaishu Sano (CM), Wataru Endo (CM), Keito Nakamura (LWB), Daichi Kamada (CAM), Takefusa Kubo (CAM)
- Attackers: Ayase Ueda (CF)
Netherlands FIFA World Cup Odds and News
The Netherlands’ Ronald Koeman has managed the team for over five years now as he enters this World Cup with plenty of talent at his command. The squad will certainly miss Matthijs de Ligt, Stefan de Vrij and Xavi Simons, who are all absent through injury.
The Dutch side comes in after going undefeated in their eight qualifiers, drawing only with Poland (twice) while scoring 27 goals and allowing just 4. Memphis Depay is leading the odds to score anytime at +185.
Japan FIFA World Cup Odds and News
Hajime Moriyasu takes the helm of this World Cup’s Japanese team once again after leading them to the Round of 16 at the 2022 tournament. Japan must do without some of their best talent, including Brighton’s Kaoru Mitoma (injury) and Monaco’s Takumi Minamino (injury). However, both Wataru Endo and Takehiro Tomiyasu should be fit and ready to go after recovering from their ailments earlier in the year.
Japan are +260 contenders here, having played their AFC qualifiers much earlier than their opponents, winning seven of their 10 matches in 2025 with 30 goals to show for it. Ayase Ueda is priced as Japan’s most probable scorer for this one at +285.
Netherlands vs. Japan Player Odds and Props
The Liverpool winger scored seven goals in the EPL, two in the UCL, and two in his last international game against Uzbekistan.
One of Japan’s main engines that contributes to 90% of the team’s defensive contributions with a tackle success rate of 75%+ is sure to win the ball back for his team here.
FIFA World Cup 2026 Bracket and Futures
The Netherlands are favourites at -125 to top the group thanks to their depth and tournament pedigree, but Japan (+250) have developed a reputation as giant killers after advancing from groups featuring Spain and Germany in recent World Cups.
The Dutch are heavily favoured at -1400 to reach the knockout stage and sit at +2000 to win the World Cup outright. With Virgil van Dijk marshalling the defence and attacking threats like Cody Gakpo and Memphis Depay leading the line, the Netherlands have legitimate ambitions of making a deep run.
Odds to qualify – Netherlands (-1400), Japan (-500)
Japan, meanwhile, are -500 to qualify and +5500 to lift the trophy. The Samurai Blue have reached the Round of 16 in four of their previous seven World Cup appearances and continue to close the gap on the traditional powers.
Netherlands vs. Japan Score Prediction
Expect a 3-2 Netherlands win here given both teams’ highly attacking mindsets, although the Dutch’s bench is quite deep with some of the best defensive and offensive talent in Europe.