England vs. Mexico Round of 16 Prediction: World Cup Odds and Picks
Mexico is poised to return to the quarter-finals for the first time since they last hosted the World Cup in 1986 after knocking off Ecuador 2-0 in round of 32 action, and have yet to surrender a goal while tallying four straight victories at this year’s tournament. England will be eyeing a third straight trip to the quarters after eking out a narrow 2-1 win over DR Congo, extending their current unbeaten streak across all competitions to six matches.
Check out our full list of live 2026 World Cup betting odds.
Mexico vs. England World Cup how to watch & match info
Time: Sunday, July 5 at 9:00 PM ET
Stadium: Estadio Banorte, (Mexico City, Mexico)
TV Channel: TSN
Weather: 17°C – Clousy with a 49% chance of precipitation.
Mexico vs. England betting odds
England arrive in Mexico City leading the way as +145 favourites on the World Cup three-way odds while Mexico lag as a +210 bet. The odds of this contest being knotted after 90 minutes are pegged at +210, with -180 odds favouring the total to finish UNDER 2.5.
Mexico vs. England predicted starting XI lineups
Mexico Predicted Starting XI: 4-3-3
Rangel
Sanchez | Montes | Vasquez | Gallardo
Lira | Romo | Mora
Alvarado | Jimenez | Quinones
England Predicted Starting XI: 4-2-3-1
Pickford
O’Reilly | Guehi | Stones | Konsa
Rice | Anderson
Gordon | Bellingham | Madeuke
Kane
Mexico FIFA World Cup odds and news
With their 2-0 group stage win over Ecuador, Mexico have now won nine straight overall on home turf, and have outscored opponents by a massive 22-2 margin while compiling an 8-2-0 record in nine matches across all competitions so far in 2026. Pegged at No. 13 on the FIFA rankings, Mexico are now poised to surpass their runs from their two previous appearances as World Cups in 1970 and 1986, when they were bounced from the tourney in the quarters. While goalkeeper Raul Rangel has slammed the door while backstopping the Tricolor to four straight clean sheets at this tournament, Julian Quinones has led the attack with three goals.
England FIFA World Cup odds and news
England aim to extend their current head-to-head win streak against Mexico in Sunday’s contest. The Three Lions have taken four straight from Mexico, while outscoring the Tricolor by a combined 12-1 margin, and went on to raise the trophy the last time these squad met back in 1966. However, England have had to fight hard for goals this time around, and have failed to score before half-time since their 4-2 win over Croatia to open the tournament. However, the squad have received good news ahead of Sunday’s contest, with both Declan Rice and Reece James expected to suit up after facing injury concerns.
Mexico vs. England player odds and props
Julian Quinones (MEX) to score first (+625): Julian Quinones has scored in three of Mexico’s first four tournament contests, and there is no reason to expect thing to change against England on Sunday. And with England struggling to find the mark early on, Quinones offers solid value as a +625 bet to open the scoring.
Harry Kane (ENG) 3+ total shots (+100): Harry Kane has provided a huge offensive spark for the Three Lions while scoring five of the squad’s eight total goals at this tournament. That extends a scorching stretch for Kane, who has scored multiple goals in four of his past eight across all competitions, making him worth backing as a +725 value bet.
World Cup 2026 bracket and futures
Mexico has finally earned some respect for their red-hot start, and have vaulted to a +2500 wager on the World Cup championship odds and a +800 bet to reach the final in the wake of their victory over Ecuador. Now six decades removed from their last World Cup championship win, England sits off the pace as a +1000 bet on the World Cup futures, with Harry Kane sitting off the pace as a +1200 wager to win top goalscorer honours following his sizzling start.
Mexico vs. England score prediction
Mexico have emerged as defensive beasts at this tournament while playing their classic physical game that takes its toll on opponents. However, they face a far more battle harden opponent in England, who will be much harder to intimidate and possess the tools to end the Tricolor’s current shutout streak. Look for this contest to go to added time to determine a winner after Mexico draws first blood.
Best bet: BTTS and England wins (+450)
Final score prediction: England 2 | Mexico 1