Outside of their historic rivalry, this is a massive game for both teams as a win should guarantee either nation a spot in the final. The loser would likely have to win their final round robin game, against Finland for Canada and Sweden for USA.

Canada opened the tournament with a thrilling 3-2 overtime victory against the Swedes, while the United States pulled away late in a 6-1 rout of the Finns.

This game is essentially a pick’em on the 4 Nations Face-Off odds, with the total pegged at 6.0.

Team USA vs. Team Canada NHL Betting Odds

This will be the 20th meeting between the nations in a true best-on-best tournament (Canada Cup, World Cup, Olympics) with NHL participation. Canada leads the series 14-4-1.

Of course, one of the most famous recent meetings, if you can call 15 years ago recent, was in the gold medal game of the 2010 Vancouver Olympics, which culminated in Sidney Crosby‘s famous Golden Goal.

The updated 4 Nations futures board has the United States as the new tournament favourite at +105, with Canada at +140. The tournament opened with Canada at +145 and the U.S. at +150.

After his performance against Sweden, it’s no surprise to see Sidney Crosby as the favourite to win tournament MVP at +400, while Americans Matthew Tkachuk (+800) and Connor Hellebuyck (+900) round out the top three.

Team USA

It was a bit of a sleepy game for the Americans through two periods against Finland on Thursday. USA finally pulled away in the third, however, scoring twice in the first minute of the period while cruising to a 6-1 victory. The Tkachuk brothers came up big, with Matthew and Brady each scoring twice. Head coach Mike Sullivan put the Tkachuk’s on a line with Jack Eichel with the score tied 1-1 in the second period and the chemistry produced six points in the third.

After allowing a weak opening goal, Connor Hellebuyck locked in the rest of the way against Finland, making 20 total saves in the game. Hellebuyck entered the tournament as the hottest goalie in the NHL, riding a personal six-game win streak while allowing two or less goals in four of those games. He’ll be a tough test for the Canadians as he currently leads the NHL in wins (34), goals-against average (2.06), save percentage (.925) and shutouts (six).

Team Canada

Remember that much lauded Canadian PP1 unit of Sidney Crosby, Nathan MacKinnon, Connor McDavid, Sam Reinhart and Cale Makar? Well, it took 11 seconds to score on its only power play of the game, with MacKinnon burying a no-look pass from Crosby in the game’s opening minute. It was the first of three assists on the night for Crosby, who also set up Mitch Marner’s OT winner. Canada has now won a ridiculous 26 straight games with Crosby in the lineup as they prepare for a massive test against the Americans.

Jordan Binnington stopped 23 of 26 shots against Sweden and although he wasn’t spectacular, he did come up with some key saves, particularly in overtime. The big loss from the game is Vegas defenceman Shea Theodore, who will miss the rest of the tournament with an upper-body injury. Canada isn’t allowed to add another defenceman to the roster, so Travis Sanheim will draw into the lineup after being a healthy scratch in the first game. There’s also been talk about dressing Sam Bennett to combat the Americans’ heavy-hitting approach led by the Tkachuks.

4 Nations Face-Off Prediction: Who Will Win Team USA vs. Team Canada?

Injuries

Team USA

Jack Hughes (C)

out of season Undisclosed - 03 / 03 / 25

Quinn Hughes (D)

Ques Wed Undisclosed - 02 / 03 / 25

Jake Sanderson (D)

Ques Mon Neck - 01 / 03 / 25

Adam Fox (D)

Out indefinitely Upper Body - 26 / 02 / 25

Chris Kreider (LW)

Ques Sat Upper Body - 23 / 02 / 25

Auston Matthews (C)

Ques Sat Undisclosed - 18 / 02 / 25

Charlie McAvoy (D)

Out indefinitely Upper Body - 18 / 02 / 25

Brady Tkachuk (LW)

Ques Sat Lower Body - 18 / 02 / 25

Matthew Tkachuk (LW)

out of season Groin - 16 / 02 / 25

Zach Werenski (D)

Prob Thurs Undisclosed - 04 / 02 / 25

Team Canada

Seth Jarvis (C)

Ques Sun Undisclosed - 22 / 03 / 25

Connor McDavid (C)

Out Sat Lower Body - 21 / 03 / 25

Colton Parayko (D)

Mid April Knee - 06 / 03 / 25

Brad Marchand (LW)

Mid Mar Upper Body - 01 / 03 / 25

Drew Doughty (D)

Ques Fri Lower Body - 27 / 02 / 25

Josh Morrissey (D)

Ques Mon Illness - 21 / 02 / 25

Cale Makar (D)

Ques Sun Illness - 14 / 02 / 25

Shea Theodore (D)

Out indefinitely Arm - 13 / 02 / 25

Travis Konecny (RW)

Ques Sat Illness - 10 / 02 / 25

Anthony Cirelli (C)

Ques Sat Upper Body - 06 / 02 / 25

Injuries

Team USA

player (position)	status		ats*current	o/u*	notes
Jack Hughes (C)	out of season	Undisclosed - 03 / 03 / 25	-	-	+ -
Hughes has landed on the injury reserve list undergoing surgery on his shoulder, and he has been shut down for the remainder of the season.
Quinn Hughes (D)	Ques Wed	Undisclosed - 02 / 03 / 25	-	-	+ -
Hughes is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will get back on the ice against the Flames on Wednesday.
Jake Sanderson (D)	Ques Mon	Neck - 01 / 03 / 25	-	-	+ -
Sanderson left the game after he took a hit to the neck, and it has yet to be determined if he will be active against the Capitals on Monday.
Adam Fox (D)	Out indefinitely	Upper Body - 26 / 02 / 25	-	-	+ -
Fox is placed on the injured reserve list with an upper body injury, and it is unknown how long he will be debilitated.
Chris Kreider (LW)	Ques Sat	Upper Body - 23 / 02 / 25	-	-	+ -
Kreider is battling an upper body injury, and it is undetermined if he will suit up against the Senators on Saturday.
Auston Matthews (C)	Ques Sat	Undisclosed - 18 / 02 / 25	-	-	+ -
Matthews is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will be available against the Hurricanes on Saturday.
Charlie McAvoy (D)	Out indefinitely	Upper Body - 18 / 02 / 25	-	-	+ -
McAvoy has landed on the injury reserve list dealing with an infection in his right shoulder and also a significant injury to his AC joint, there is no timetable for his return.
Brady Tkachuk (LW)	Ques Sat	Lower Body - 18 / 02 / 25	-	-	+ -
Tkachuk sustained a lower body injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be available against the Sharks on Saturday.
Matthew Tkachuk (LW)	out of season	Groin - 16 / 02 / 25	-	-	+ -
Tkachuk is placed on long-term injured reserve list with a groin injury, and he has been shut down for the remainder of the season.
Zach Werenski (D)	Prob Thurs	Undisclosed - 04 / 02 / 25	-	-	+ -
Werenski is battling an undisclosed injury, but he is likely to participate against the Hockey Club on Thursday.

Team Canada

player (position)	status		ats*current	o/u*	notes
Seth Jarvis (C)	Ques Sun	Undisclosed - 22 / 03 / 25	-	-	+ -
Jarvis suffered an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will play against the Ducks on Sunday.
Connor McDavid (C)	Out Sat	Lower Body - 21 / 03 / 25	-	-	+ -
McDavid left the previous game with a lower-body injury, and he is not expected to play against the Kraken on Saturday.
Colton Parayko (D)	Mid April	Knee - 06 / 03 / 25	-	-	+ -
Parayko will undergo a scope on his left knee, and he has been shut down till the mid part of April.
Brad Marchand (LW)	Mid Mar	Upper Body - 01 / 03 / 25	-	-	+ -
Marchand is nursing an upper body injury, and he has been deemed week-to-week.
Drew Doughty (D)	Ques Fri	Lower Body - 27 / 02 / 25	-	-	+ -
Doughty is battling a lower body injury, and it is unclear if he will dress against the Stars on Friday.
Josh Morrissey (D)	Ques Mon	Illness - 21 / 02 / 25	-	-	+ -
Morrissey is ailing with an illness, and it is unclear if he will feature in the lineup against the Sharks on Monday.
Cale Makar (D)	Ques Sun	Illness - 14 / 02 / 25	-	-	+ -
Makar has been sidelined due to an illness, and it is unclear if he will face the Blues on Sunday.
Shea Theodore (D)	Out indefinitely	Arm - 13 / 02 / 25	-	-	+ -
Theodore has been placed on long term injured reserve due to an arm injury, and it is unknown how long he will be debilitated.
Travis Konecny (RW)	Ques Sat	Illness - 10 / 02 / 25	-	-	+ -
Konecny is ailing with an illness, and it has yet to be determined if he will play against the Oilers on Saturday.
Anthony Cirelli (C)	Ques Sat	Upper Body - 06 / 02 / 25	-	-	+ -
Senators is dealing with an upper body injury, and it is yet to established if he will face the Red Wings on Saturday.