Ottawa Senators vs. Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction, NHL Odds

Jordan Ramsay | Updated Feb 15, 2021

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Monday will see a showdown of the top team in the NHL against the bottom team.

Ottawa
23-28-4-1
AT
February 15, 2021, 7:00 PM ET
Scotiabank Arena
Toronto
35-14-7
Puckline +1.5 +120
Moneyline +275
Over / Under o +6.5

10%

Betting Action

90%

Puckline -1.5 -144
Moneyline -335
Over / Under u +6.5

10%

Betting Action

90%

The battle of Ontario heads to the Six on Monday as Ottawa and Toronto meet for the third time this season.

Even after splitting the previous two meetings, Toronto is a heavy -330 favourite to win on the NHL odds with a total of 6.5.

Senators vs. Maple Leafs Betting Analysis

The Senators have struggled to score all season.  Ottawa has missed the Over in six of their last seven games and has only hit it in five of 16 games overall.  The Sens are 6-10 against the spread, covering four times at home, but just twice on the road.

Despite one of the top offences in the league, Toronto has actually been an Under team in four of their last five games. The Leafs are 6-9 ATS, covering five times at home and once on the road.

Ottawa Senators

Ottawa picked up their third win of the season with a 2-1 decision over the Winnipeg Jets on Saturday.  Evgenii Dadonov and Brady Tkachuk had the goals for the Sens, while Marcus Hogberg stopped 30 of 31 shots.  Tkachuk and Dadonov are now in a tie with rookie Tim Stutzle for the team lead in goals with four each.  Tkachuk leads the team with nine points in 16 games.

The Senators sit in the basement of the North Division largely due to their lack of offensive production.  Ottawa is 29th in the NHL in goals per game, averaging 2.13.  Their power play is ranked 25th in the league with a 13.1 per cent success rate.  The Sens also struggle in their own zone as well.  Entering Monday, Ottawa is last in goals against, allowing four per game.  The Sens penalty kill is 24th in the league.  They kill off 74.6 per cent of their penalties.

Toronto Maple Leafs

Mitch Marner was the lone goal scorer for the Leafs in Toronto’s 2-1 loss to the Canadiens on Saturday night.  Marner is currently third in the NHL with 22 points (7G, 15A) in 15 games.  Frederik Andersen stopped 23 of 25 shots he faced in the loss.  With Jack Campbell still injured, Andersen has had a heavy workload this season.  In 13 games Andersen is 9-3-1 with a 2.55 goals against average and .909 save percentage.

The Leafs’ potent offence has helped them get to the top of the NHL standings.  Toronto is fourth in goals for, averaging 3.53 per contest.  They also have the third best power play in the league, converting on 34.1 per cent of their opportunities on the man advantage.  Defensively, Toronto is sixth in goals against, allowing 2.53 goals per game.  One area Toronto struggles in is their penalty kill.  Their P.K. is 21st in the NHL, stopping 76.9 per cent of their opponent’s power play opportunities.

NHL Prediction: Who Will Win Senators vs. Maple Leafs?

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