Detroit Red Wings vs. Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction, NHL Odds

Daniel Coyle | Updated Apr 26, 2022

The Leafs can clinch second place in the Atlantic and home ice advantage in the first round of the NHL playoffs with a win on Tuesday, when they host the Red Wings.

April 26, 2022, 7:00 PM ET
Scotiabank Arena
Puckline +1.5 +159
Moneyline +381
Over / Under o +6.5


Betting Action


Puckline -1.5 -191
Moneyline -472
Over / Under u +6.5


Betting Action


The Maple Leafs are coming off a 4-3 overtime win in Washington, and ride a three-game win streak on home ice. The Red Wings opened a season-ending three-game road trip with a 3-0 win in New Jersey, but have failed to claim victory in consecutive games played on the road since late October.

The Maple Leafs enjoy the support of 91% of sports bettors, and are perched as lofty -444 favourites, while the Red Wings lag as distant +359 underdogs. The total has held steady since opening at 7.0, but the OVER has emerged as slight -115 chalk while attracting 69% of the betting action.

Red Wings vs. Maple Leafs NHL Betting Odds

Tuesday night’s matchup at Scotiabank Arena marks the fourth and final meeting of the season between these Original Six rivals. The Maple Leafs averaged seven goals per game while winning the first three games of the season series. Overall, Toronto has taken six straight from the Red Wings and earned at least a point in 19 of 21 clashes since October 2015. Detroit shooters have averaging five goals per game this season against the Leafs after tallying just three total goals in their previous three matchups. That has fueled a steady run for the OVER, which has paid out in three straight, and eight of 11 meetings between these clubs.

The Maple Leafs rank second in the NHL with 3.80 goals scored per game, but just seven total goals during their recent three-game road trip. However, they have averaged 4.42 goals per game during their current 10-1-1 run on home ice. Toronto has allowed just 2.30 goals per game over the team’s past 10 home dates, fueling a 5-2-3 run for the UNDER. The Red Wings have tallied consecutive wins just once while going 8-15-4 since the beginning of March. Five of those victories have come on the road, including a pair of shutout wins during their current 4-2-0 run. However, the club surrendered an average of five goals in the five games between those shutout victories.

Detroit Red Wings

Alex Nedeljkovic is expected to get the start in goals after earning his fourth shutout of the season in Sunday’s win. Nedeljkovic has surrendered two or fewer goals in three of five outings, but was lit up for six goals on just 25 shots before getting pulled midway through a 10-7 home loss to Toronto on February 26, and has allowed 11 total goals in two appearances versus the Maple Leafs this season.

Toronto Maple Leafs

Auston Matthews has returned to form after missing three games with an undisclosed injury. The NHL’s leading goal scorer contributed a pair of assists in Sunday’s win over the Capitals, and has also potted one goal and five assists in the Leafs’ past two dates with Detroit. The news is not so good for Jake Muzzin. The veteran rearguard has struggled to overcome a concussion suffered earlier this season, and has been sidelined for the past six games.

NHL Prediction: Who Will Win Red Wings vs. Maple Leafs?