Detroit Red Wings vs. Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction, NHL Odds

Jordan Ramsay | Updated Apr 03, 2021

Tampa has won eight of the last 10 meetings between these teams, including four of five meetings so far this season.

April 04, 2021, 12:00 PM ET
Amalie Arena
Tampa Bay
Puckline +1.5 +105
Moneyline +282
Over / Under o +5.5


Betting Action


Puckline -1.5 -127
Moneyline -344
Over / Under u +5.5


Betting Action


Detroit only keeps adding to their record streak in Tampa Bay and it’s not good.  The Lightning downed the Red Wings 2-1 at home on Saturday afternoon for their 17th straight home win against Detroit.  The Red Wings get one more chance to break the streak this weekend in the second game of a back-to-back between these teams on Sunday afternoon.

Tampa Bay is a heavy favourite to win on the NHL odds.

Red Wings vs. Lightning Betting Analysis

The Lightning have had Detroit’s number for years.  Tampa has won eight of the last 10 meetings between these teams, including four of five meetings so far this season.  The Lightning have outscored Detroit by a combined 17-12 in the season series.  The Red Wings’ lone victory was a 6-4 decision in Detroit on March 11.

Detroit has been brutal on the road this season.  They’ve posted a 3-14-2 record outside of Little Caesars Arena and have lost eight straight road games.  The Red Wings are 23-16 against the spread and have covered in eight of 20 road games.  Goals have been as hard to come by as wins for this team.  They’ve fallen short of the number on the over/under in fiver straight games and eight of their last nine.

Tampa Bay has looked every bit like the defending Stanley Cup champions this season.  They have a 15-3 home record this season and haven’t lost to Detroit in Tampa Bay since December 2013.  The Lightning are 18-19 ATS this year and they’ve covered in 12 of 18 home games.  The total has gone Under in four of their last six games.

Detroit Red Wings

Detroit is all but officially out of the playoffs.  They sit last in the Central Division and they’re 12 points back of fourth place Nashville.  Adam Erne‘s career-high eighth goal of the season was the lone time the Wings found the back of the net on Saturday.  Goals have been hard to come by for Detroit this year.  Erne only trails Anthony Mantha and Robby Fabbri‘s 10 goals apiece for the team lead.  Defenceman Filip Hronek leads the team with 21 points (2G, 19A).

Thomas Griess made 27 saves in the loss on Saturday.  Griess has split most of the year with Jonathan Bernier, although Calvin Pickard has also appeared in five games.  Griess has a brutal 2-15-5 record with a 3.32 goals-against average and .892 save percentage.  Bernier is 8-6-0 (2.78 GAA, .918 SV) and Pickard is 2-1-0 (2.76 GAA, .879 SV).  You’ve got to think one of those three goalies will be moved at the trade deadline.

Tampa Bay Lightning

Looking at some of the other teams in the league, Tampa’s three-game losing streak wasn’t all that concerning, but they’ve got to feel good about snapping it and picking up wins in their last two outings.  The Lightning have an NHL-best 54 points and look primed to make another deep playoff run.  Ross Colton and Brayden Point had the goals for Tampa on Saturday.  Point’s 16 goals ties him for the team lead with Steven Stamkos and he sits second in points with 33.  Norris Trophy-favourite Victor Hedman leads the team with 35 points (6G, 29A).

Andrei Vasilevskiy improved to 23-5-1 after stopping 25 of 26 shots on Saturday.  One of the frontrunners for the Vezina Trophy, Vasilevskiy is in the top-5 of all the major statistical categories for goalies.  He has a 1.96 GAA, .932 SV and has recorded three shutouts.  Vasilevskiy is 13-0-0 in Tampa Bay this year and 12-0-0 against Detroit in his career.

NHL Prediction: Who Will Win Red Wings vs. Lightning?