Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Minnesota Wild Prediction, NHL Odds

Jordan Ramsay | Updated Dec 04, 2021

Toronto's offence has hit another level recently, as the Leafs have averaged 5.75 goals per contest over their last four games.

Toronto
26-10-2-1
AT
December 04, 2021, 7:00 PM ET
Xcel Energy Center
Minnesota
25-10-0-3
Puckline -1.5 +206
Moneyline -110
Over / Under o +6

70%

Betting Action

30%

Puckline +1.5 -248
Moneyline -110
Over / Under u +6

70%

Betting Action

30%

The Toronto Maple Leafs are one of the hottest teams in the NHL at the moment and they bring a five-game win streak into Minnesota on Saturday.  The Wild are no pushover, however, as they’re also riding a five-game win streak.  The Leafs have been off since pounding Colorado 8-3 at home on Wednesday.  The Wild were last in action on Thursday when they took out the Devils 5-2 in Minnesota.

Toronto is a slim -120 favourite to win on the NHL odds, with a total of 6.0.

Maple Leafs vs. Wild NHL Betting Odds

These teams are meeting for the first time in two years, with the Maple Leafs sweeping the last season series and the total going Under in both games.  It’s a close split among Sports Interaction bettors for this one, with about 60 per cent of action backing the Leafs.  The total is more definitive with about 80 per cent of bettors taking the Over.

Toronto has been absolutely dominant for the last month.  The Leafs have won 10 of their last 11 games overall and they have a chance to set a new franchise record on Saturday with their eighth consecutive road win.  They haven’t been a great cover option though, going 10-14 against the spread overall and 5-5 ATS on the road.  The total has gone Under in six of Toronto’s 10 road games this season and seven of their last eight games in Minnesota.

The Wild have taken advantage of home ice this year, winning nine of 11 games at Xcel Energy Center.  They’re 12-11 ATS overall, covering six times at home.  High scoring games have been a theme for Minnesota.  The total has gone Over in five consecutive home games for the Wild and seven of their last eight games overall.

Toronto Maple Leafs

With a franchise that’s over 100 years old, it says something that Toronto is coming off the best month of November in team history with a 12-2 record.  All the big stars came to play in the blowout win against the Avalanche.  Auston Matthews scored a hat-trick, while John Tavares (1G, 2A) and Michael Bunting (3A) each had three-point nights.  William Nylander had a goal and an assist and Mitch Marner added two highlight reel helpers.  Jack Campbell stopped 28 of 31 shots faced.  Tavares leads the team with 25 points (11G, 14A), while Matthews has 22 points and a team-high 13 goals.

The biggest turnaround for the Leafs this season has been on the defensive side of the puck.  Toronto ranks second in goals-against per game (2.17).  Campbell has been a big part of that success as he has established himself as a true No. 1 goalie.  He’s had a heavy workload, going 13-4-1 with three shutouts.  Among goalies with at least three games played, Campbell ranks third in goals-against average (1.72) and second in save percentage (.943).

Ondrej Kase (upper-body) will not play against Minnesota.

Minnesota Wild

Kirill Kaprizov (2G, 1A) and Ryan Hartman (1G, 2A) each had three-point nights to lead Minnesota to a fifth consecutive win on Thursday.  Rem Pitlick and Dmitry Kulikov also found the back of the net, while Kaapo Kahkonen stopped 27 of 29 shots.  Kaprizov, last year’s Calder Trophy winner, has been just as strong in his second NHL season and leads the team with 28 points (9G, 19A).  The Russia winger is fifth in league scoring and has 22 points in 15 games since Nov. 2, just four behind NHL leader Leon Draisaitl during that span.  Hartman is the second-leading scorer on the Wild with 21 points, including a team-high 13 goals.

Minnesota will likely turn to Cam Talbot in net on Saturday.  Talbot has earned the majority of the starts this season, going 12-5-0 with a 2.71 GAA and .914 SV.  Jared Spurgeon (lower-body) is listed as week-to-week and won’t play Saturday.  Frederick Gaudreau (COVID) is listed as questionable.

NHL Prediction: Who Will Win Maple Leafs vs. Wild?

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