Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Vancouver Canucks Prediction, NHL Odds

Jordan Ramsay | Updated Mar 06, 2021

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Jake Virtanen's two-goal effort on Thursday made the difference for the Canucks to pick up their second win in three games.

Toronto
35-14-7
AT
March 06, 2021, 7:00 PM ET
Rogers Arena
Vancouver
23-29-3-1
Puckline -1.5 +126
Moneyline -196
Over / Under o +6.5

91%

Betting Action

9%

Puckline +1.5 -158
Moneyline +163
Over / Under u +6.5

91%

Betting Action

9%

The Toronto Maple Leafs are in Vancouver on Saturday night to play the back half of a two-game set with the Canucks.  The Leafs are looking to get back in the win column after Vancouver snapped Toronto’s four game win streak with a 3-1 victory on Thursday.

Toronto is a -215 favourite to win on the NHL odds with a total of 6.5.

Maple Leafs vs. Canucks Betting Analysis

In a normal regular season these teams would only see each other twice, but with all of the Canadian teams temporarily realigned to the North Division this will actually be the fifth time Toronto and Vancouver meet this year.  The Leafs have won three of the previous four games against the Canucks and outscored them by a combined 16-8 in the season series.

Even with Austom Matthews, the NHL’s leading goal scorer, the total has actually gone Under in five of the Leaf’s last six games.  The Leafs have also been an Under team in the last five games they have played in Vancouver.  Toronto is 11-14 against the spread this season, covering in five of 12 road games.

It’s been a tough year for Vancouver, but on the positive side they have been a little better at home.  The Canucks are 6-6-2 at Rogers Place, compared to 4-9 on the road.  Vancouver is 12-15 ATS overall and have covered in eight of 14 homes games.  The Canucks have hit the Over seven times at home.

Toronto Maple Leafs

The Leafs were already the best team in the North before last week, but over their four game win streak prior to their loss on Thursday, Toronto solidified themselves as one of the best, if not the best, team in the entire NHL.  The Leafs had two shutouts and outscored their opponents 15-2 in that four-game win streak, even without starting goaltender Frederik Andersen for three of the games and missing the NHL’s leading goal scorer, Auston Matthews, for two.  Toronto’s loss to sixth place Vancouver may have been more about lack of rest.  The Leafs were playing for the second straight night and it was their fourth game in six days.

Pierre Envall’s second goal of the season was the lone marker for Toronto on Thursday.  Michael Hutchinson made 25 saves in the loss.  While Frederik Andersen and Jack Campbell have both played on this road trip, it’s thought that they both may still be experiencing injury issues.  It’s likely Campbell doesn’t suit up at all on Saturday, but keep an eye on who starts for the Leafs.  If Andersen is healthy, he should get the nod over Hutchinson, but there’s no need to rush him back if it risks Andersen tweaking an injury.

Vancouver Canucks

Thatcher Demko was the biggest reason for Vancouver’s win on Thursday.  He stopped 31 of 32 shots he faced for his sixth win of the year.  It also looks like he may be edging out Braden Holtby as the No. 1 Vancouver goalie.  Demko is 6-9-1 with a 2.93 goals-against average and .911 save percentage.  On paper those numbers don’t jump out, but keep in mind this is a Canucks team that gives up the second most shots in the NHL, averaging 32.81 shots against per game.

Jake Virtanen found the back of the net twice on Thursday, before Bo Horvat buried his 10th goal of the season in the third period.  It’s worth keeping an eye on news regarding Elias Pettersson for Saturday.  He missed Thursday’s game with an upper-body injury and is considered day-to-day.  It’s likely Pettersson will be a game-time decision on Saturday.

NHL Prediction: Who Will Win Maple Leafs vs. Canucks?

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