Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Detroit Red Wings Prediction, NHL Odds

Jordan Ramsay | Updated May 02, 2021

Detroit could be in trouble on Sunday, as they're set to face Tampa's No. 1 goalie, Andrei Vasilevskiy. The former Veznia winner is 12-0-0 in his career against Detroit and he's near the top of every major statistical category for goalies this season.

Tampa Bay
36-16-1-2
AT
May 02, 2021, 3:00 PM ET
Little Caesars Arena
Detroit
19-27-7-3
Puckline -1.5 -105
Moneyline -296
Over / Under o +5.5

82%

Betting Action

18%

Puckline +1.5 -115
Moneyline +244
Over / Under u +5.5

82%

Betting Action

18%

No one was able to find the back of the net in regulation or overtime in the Detroit Red Wings’ 1-0 shootout win over the Tampa Bay Lightning on Saturday.  If the Lightning want a shot at home ice advantage in the playoffs, they’ll need a better showing in the finale of their two-game set in Detroit on Sunday.

Tampa is a heavy -335 road favourite to win on the NHL odds with a total of 5.5.

Lightning vs. Red Wings Betting Analysis

Tampa Bay has absolutely dominated the Red Wings over the last few years.  The Bolts are 16-4 straight up against Detroit over the last 20 games between these teams, including 4-3 SU this season.  They’re 23-28 against the spread overall this year, but they have only covered in three of their last 10 games.  Tampa has hit the Over in 11 of their last 14 road games.

Detroit has been brutal this year.  They’ve lost six of their last eight games overall, although it’s worth noting they’re actually two games above .500 at home.  They’ve also been a great cover option, going 33-20 ATS, including covering in seven of their last 10 games.  The total has gone Under in four of the Red Wings’ last five games overall, as well as four of their last five at home.

Tampa Bay Lightning

Saturday’s loss was a big missed opportunity for Tampa Bay.  They’re now two points behind Florida for second in the Central Division and four points behind Carolina for first.  The Bolts have already clinched a playoff spot, but they’ll need at least second place in the division to get home ice advantage.  Curtis McElhinney made 14 saves in the loss.  Andrei Vasilevskiy, however, will get the start on Sunday.  The Vezina candidate is 30-8-1 with five shutouts this year and is 12-0-0 against Detroit in his career.  Among goalies who have played at least 10 games this season, Vasilevskiy is third in save percentage (.929) and seventh in goals-against average (2.10).

Detroit Red Wings

Sitting seventh in the eight-team Central Division, Detroit is in full-blown spoiler mode.  Thomas Greiss has stood on his head in net over the last few games.  His 33-save performance on Saturday was his second straight shutout and broke a three-game losing skid for the Wings.  The German netminder hasn’t allowed a goal in 136:31.  With such a quick turnaround between games, Detroit will likely turn to Jonathan Bernier on Sunday.  Bernier is 9-10-1 on the season with a 3.03 GAA and .912 SV.  Sam Gagner scored the shootout winner in the eighth round on Saturday.  Detroit has struggled offensively, all year.  Only Dylan Larkin (9G, 14A) and Filip Hronek (2G, 21A) have hit the 20-point mark, while only Adam Erne (11G, 8A) and Robby Fabbri (10G, 8A) have double-digit goal totals.

NHL Prediction: Who Will Win Lightning vs. Red Wings?

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