Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Florida Panthers Game 5 Prediction, Playoff Odds

Nik Kowalski | Updated May 23, 2021

Tampa and Florida both finished in the top eight in goals per game this season and have come as advertised in the playoffs — there have been 32 goals scored through the first four games of this series.

Tampa Bay
36-17-1-2
AT
May 24, 2021, 8:00 PM ET
BB&T Center
Florida
37-14-3-2
Puckline -1.5 +201
Moneyline -110
Over / Under o +6

73%

Betting Action

27%

Puckline +1.5 -242
Moneyline -110
Over / Under u +6

73%

Betting Action

27%

The Florida Panthers are returning home for a must-win Game 5 against the defending champion Tampa Bay Lightning on Monday evening. The Panthers and Lightning split Tampa Bay’s two home games, but it was the Lightning winning the most recent Game 4 by a 6-2 score to take a 3-1 series lead.

Nikita Kucherov had a goal and three assists in Game 4 but left in the third period with a lower-body injury. Lightning defenceman Mikhail Sergachev also exited the game with an apparent upper-body injury. Both players’ status for Game 5 is uncertain.

Puck drop for Game 5 in Florida is 8 p.m. EST.

Lightning vs. Panthers Stanley Cup Odds

Eight goals in Game 5 led to the 14th time the Over has hit in the last 19 Florida–Tampa Bay games. Both teams finished in the top eight in goals per game this season and have come as advertised in the playoffs — there have been 32 goals scored through the first four games of this series.

Despite the four-goal loss, Florida outshot the Lightning 41-26 in Game 4. Seven power plays helped their cause, but both teams capitalized twice on the man advantage on Saturday afternoon. Tampa Bay’s power play is operating at a league-best 46.7 per cent these playoffs, while Florida’s right behind them with a 33.3 per cent conversion rate.

Game 5 is a pick’em on the NHL odds with the total listed at 6.0.

Tampa Bay Lightning

Tampa Bay’s well-balanced offensive attack was on full display in Game 4 as five different forwards scored and four had multi-point outings. Kucherov and Alex Killorn led the way with four points each, Killorn scoring back-to-back goals. Ondrej Palat, Anthony Cirelli, and Yanni Gourde all also found the back of the net.

The Lightning dressed 11 forwards and seven defenceman again in Game 4 but that could become a traditional 12 and six lineup if Sergachev cannot go in Game 5. If Kucherov isn’t able to play, forward Mathieu Joseph could draw back in to Tampa Bay’s lineup after suiting up in Games 1 and 3.

Florida Panthers

Goaltending is once again the main story/problem for the Panthers. Sergei Bobrovsky got chased in Game 4 after allowing five goals on 14 shots against and now has an .841 save percentage this postseason. It’s been Bobrovsky in net in Games 1 and 4 and Chris Driedger starting Games 2 and 3, and as of Sunday afternoon Joel Quenneville has yet to announce a starter for Game 5.

Florida’s 2019 first round pick, Spencer Knight, could be an option in net too, after appearing in four games this season. The Panthers have given up 14 goals in their three losses this series (and five in their lone win) so the subpar play in net is their obvious Achilles Heel.

NHL Playoff Prediction: Who Will Win Lightning vs. Panthers?

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