Winnipeg Jets vs. Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction, NHL Odds

Jordan Ramsay | Updated Mar 09, 2021

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The Leafs will need their big guns firing on all cylinders against the Jets if they want to avoid losing three straight games for the first time this season.

March 09, 2021, 7:00 PM ET
Scotiabank Arena
Puckline +1.5 -145
Moneyline +160
Over / Under o +6


Betting Action


Puckline -1.5 +121
Moneyline -193
Over / Under u +6


Betting Action


Two of the top teams in the North Division are ready to open a three-game set on Tuesday, when the Winnipeg Jets head to Toronto to face the league-leading Leafs.

The Maple Leafs are a -195 favourite to win on the NHL odds with a total of 6.5.

Jets vs. Maple Leafs Betting Analysis

These teams have only met once so far, this season, but they’ll face each other another nine times before the year is out, including five meetings over the next month.  The Leafs picked up a 3-1 win on Jan. 8 at home.  Mitch Marner and John Tavares each had second period goals, before Marner sealed the deal with an empty-netter.

Winnipeg has hit the Over in five of their last seven games overall and half of their 10 road games for the year.  The Jets have rewarded bettors nicely with a 19-5 record against the spread, covering eight times on the road.

The Leafs have had an opposite scoring trend lately, turning into an Under team in six of their last seven games overall.  They have an identical 9-3-1 record at home and on the road for the year.  Toronto is 11-3 ATS and have covered in six of 13 homes games.

Winnipeg Jets

The Jets are trying to rebound after their worst loss of the season, a 7-1 drubbing from Montreal on Saturday, which dropped them one point behind Edmonton for second place in the North Division.  Neither of the two Winnipeg goalies had much success against the Canadiens.  After allowing four goals on 19 shots, Connor Hellebuyck was pulled in favour of Laurent Brossoit, who proceed to allow three goals on nine shots.  Mathieu Perreault had the lone Jets goal.

Maybe the only positive in the game for Winnipeg on Saturday was Mark Scheifele.  The Jets’ forward picked up an assist and now has points in three straight games.  Scheifele is fifth in league scoring with 33 points (11G, 22A) in 24 games.  The Jets will likely turn back to Hellebuyck to start on Tuesday.  The reigning Vezina Trophy winner has been inconsistent this season.  Hellebuyck has an 11-7-1 record with a 2.73 goals-against average and .911 save percentage.

Toronto Maple Leafs

Even coming off two straight losses to Vancouver, the Leafs are by far the best team in the North Division.  Toronto was last on the ice in a 4-2 loss to the Canucks on Saturday.  Tavares and Jimmy Vesey had the goals for the Leafs.  Frederik Andersen made 27 saves on 31 shots, for just his fourth loss of the season in 18 starts.  Andersen is 12-4-2 with a 2.68 GAA and .906 SV.  Andersen has played solid this season and part of the reason is likely due to Toronto’s improved defence.  The Leafs are limiting opponents to an average of 2.4 goals per game, fifth-best in the NHL.

Auston Matthews continues to lead the league with 18 goals, despite not recording a point in the three games he’s played since re-aggravating a wrist injury.  Matthews hasn’t scored since a two-goal performance against Montreal on Feb. 20.  With Matthews clearly not a full health, his line mate, Marner, has also seen his production dip.  Marner, who leads the Leafs with 34 points (10G, 24A), has only managed four points in his last seven games.  The Leafs will need their big guns firing on all cylinders against the Jets, if they want to avoid losing three straight games for the first time this season.

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