Golden Knights vs. Stars Game 7 Prediction, Stanley Cup Playoff Odds

Nik Kowalski | Updated May 04, 2024

The Vegas Golden Knights vs. Dallas Stars has been arguably the best first-round series and it’s getting capped off with the two best words in sports: Game 7.

Vegas
45-29-6-2
AT
May 05, 2024, 7:30 PM ET
American Airlines Center
Dallas
52-21-7-2
Puckline +1.5 -210
Moneyline +125
Over / Under o +5

0%

Betting Action

42%

Puckline -1.5 +170
Moneyline -150
Over / Under u +5

0%

Betting Action

42%

Vegas survived elimination Friday night by shutting out the Stars 2-0, forcing the deciding Game 7 on Sunday night in Dallas.

The road team won all four of the first games in this series but since then the home teams have alternated victories. What has kept up throughout this series is stellar goaltending. Dallas’ Jake Oettinger has a .921 save percentage in the first round and has that percentage above .940 in three of his last four starts. Vegas made a somewhat surprising switch to Adin Hill in Game 5 but he’s stopped 45 of 48 shots faced while coming off a 23-save shutout in Game 6.

Puck drop for Game 7 at American Airlines Center starts at 7:30 p.m. EDT with the Stars -145 to advance to play the awaiting Colorado Avalanche. NHL oddsmakers have the total set at 5.5.

Golden Knights vs. Stars NHL Playoff Betting Odds

Saturday’s two-goal Game 6 put the under to 4-2 this series. The losing team has scored two or fewer goals in five straight games and no team has hit five goals so far. The under has hit in eight of Dallas’ last nine home games. Vegas is 5-1 in their last six trips to Dallas.

Sunday will be the fourth Game 7 in Golden Knights history. They are 2-1 so far with the lone loss coming in 2019 when they blew a 3-0 third period lead at San Jose. This is Dallas’ ninth Game 7 in franchise history and they are 4-5 all-time and 1-3 when they go to overtime. All-time, the home team is 111-80 in Game 7s (58% winning percentage). Overtime has decided 47 of the 191 in Game 7s (25%).

Vegas Golden Knights

One of the key missing pieces that was missing from last year’s Stanley Cup run for Vegas was goalie Adin Hill. The Golden Knights ran with Logan Thompson in net for the first four games against Dallas, and Thompson was overall solid with a .921 save percentage. Head coach Bruce Cassidy cited last year’s playoff experience as a reason to switch to Hill and the move’s paid off. Hill was fantastic in Game 6 with a 23-save shutout.

Trade deadline acquisition Noah Hanifin provided even more value with the game’s opening and winning goal in Game 6, scored with just under 10 minutes to go. Hanifin, a defenceman, is tied for second on the Golden Knights in playoff scoring with two goals and three assists.

Dallas Stars

The best Game 7 nugget involves Stars coach Pete DeBoer. And it’s a simple stat: DeBoer is 7-0 lifetime in Game 7s. DeBoer’s task for this go-around is to get his offence going. Dallas had a series-low 11 high-danger chances in Game 6 — albeit most were legit A+ chances. But matter of the fact is this offence, that ranked 3rd in the NHL with 3.59 goals per game, has business not getting on the scoresheet. 

Joe Pavelski is still without a point in six games. Tyler Seguin is without a goal, and Roope Hintz has one goal and zero assists this series. Wyatt Johnston, Jason Robertson, and Evgenii Dadonov are the only three Stars skaters to score more than one goal this series. The Stars are expected to get great goaltending Sunday, but their season could depend on whether the likes of Pavelski and Hintz and Seguin produce.

Game 7 Prediction: Who Will Win Golden Knights vs. Stars?

SportsInteraction