Calgary Flames vs. Ottawa Senators Prediction, NHL Odds

Jordan Ramsay | Updated Feb 25, 2021

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It took some extra time for both of these team's last games to be finished. Ottawa is coming in off a shootout win, while Calgary just dropped a game in overtime.

Calgary
18-21-2-1
AT
February 25, 2021, 7:00 PM ET
Canadian Tire Centre
Ottawa
14-25-3-1
Puckline -1.5 +167
Moneyline -165
Over / Under o +6

62%

Betting Action

38%

Puckline +1.5 -201
Moneyline +140
Over / Under u +6

62%

Betting Action

38%

Forget the Battle of Ontario or the Battle of Alberta, we’re ready to see the Battle of Tkachuk as Matthew Tkachuk‘s Calgary Flames ride into Ottawa on Thursday to start a three-game set with little brother Brady Tkachuk‘s Senators.

The Flames are a -155 favourite to win on the NHL odds with a total of 6.0.

Flames vs. Senators Betting Analysis

Calgary has struggled to score this year and it likely won’t get any easier in their third game in four nights.  The Flames are 7-11-2 on the Over/Under, hitting the Over in just four of 12 road games.  Calgary is 9-11 against the spread this year.  They have covered the spread four times on the road.

As Ottawa’s young players continue to develop and improve as a team, the goals will come, but as of now, goals are still hard to come by.  The Sens have been an Under team in five of their last six homes games.  Ottawa is 10-11 ATS overall and they have covered in six of nine homes games this year.

Calgary Flames

Rest will be the biggest issue facing Calgary as this is the second night of a back-to-back and also their third game in four nights.  After Andrew Mangiapane scored the game’s first goal with under four minutes to play against the Leafs on Wednesday, it looked like the Flames were going to shut out Toronto for the second straight game.  Unfortunately for Calgary, they allowed William Nylander to tie the game late and then win it in overtime, giving the Flames their fourth loss in their last five games.  David Rittich stopped 37 of 39 shots.  With Jacob Markstrom still listed as day-to-day with an upper-body injury, Rittich could see his second start in as many nights on Thursday.  In five starts this year, Rittich is 1-3-1 with a 2.29 goals-against average and .919 save percentage.

Inconsistency has been the biggest issue for the Flames.  This is a team that has already had multiple losing streaks of at least three games this year, yet they almost kept one of the NHL’s highest scoring teams, the Toronto Maple Leafs, from scoring in two straight games.  Fresh off an overtime loss and playing for the second night in a row, this could be a tough game for Calgary.

Ottawa Senators

Ottawa comes into this game after sweeping a two-game set with Montreal, which essentially cost Claude Julien his job as the Canadiens head coach.  The Senators’ resurgence is in large part due to their young guns.  In a 5-4 shootout win on Tuesday, Brady Tkachuk (age: 21) had two goals, Drake Batherson netted his third goal in three games (age: 22), Erik Brannstrom scored his first NHL goal on the power play (age: 21), while Tim Stutzle (age: 19) and Josh Norris (age: 21) each scored in the shootout.  Norris is second in the rookie scoring race with 12 points (4G, 8A) and Stutzle is fourth with 10 points (5G, 5A).

With a team as young as Ottawa, it has taken some time, but they seem to be starting to turn a corner.  Ottawa’s last eight goals have been scored by players aged 22 or younger.  The Sens are still nowhere close to being a contender, but the youth movement is at least showing a picture of what the future could look like.  Up against a tired Calgary team, Ottawa is looking like a great value bet.

NHL Prediction: Who Will Win Flames vs. Senators?

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