NFL Week 11: Power Rankings
The San Francisco 49ers have rebounded after a much-needed bye last week, while the Houston Texans, Denver Broncos, and Minnesota Vikings continue to make healthy gains in the rankings following big Week 10 wins.
NFL Betting Power Rankings Week 11
1. Detroit Lions
SU: 7-2
ATS: 7-2
Super Bowl Odds: +1200
Last week’s ranking: 3
The Lions enjoyed a week off to recover from injuries in Week 9, and demonstrated their ability to go toe-to-toe with the one of the NFL’s top offenses in last weekend’s slugfest with the Los Angeles Chargers. Now tops in the league with a 7-2 ATS record, Detroit is poised to benefit from a favourable schedule, at least over the next month.
2. Kansas City Chiefs
SU: 7-2
ATS: 6-3
Super Bowl Odds: +500
Last week’s ranking: 4
The Chiefs enjoyed a bye last week and return to action sporting the NFL’s second-ranked defence. However, this team has yet to match the consistent offensive performance that made them the highest scoring team in the NFL last season, particularly on the road, where they have averaged just 21.5 points per game.
3. San Francisco 49ers
SU: 6-3
ATS: 5-4
Super Bowl Odds: +500
Last week’s ranking: 10
A Week 9 bye proved to be a tonic for the 49ers. Battling injuries and a three-game slide, the 49ers rebounded in their return to action last weekend in Jacksonville. With last weekend’ 34-3 victory, the Niners have now limited opponents to 19 or fewer points six times.
4. Minnesota Vikings
SU: 6-4
ATS: 6-3-1
Super Bowl Odds: +8000
Last week’s ranking: 14
The Minnesota Vikings have emerged as one of the NFL’s hottest teams during a 5-0 SU and ATS run. Josh Dobbs has captured the spotlight with a pair of impressive performances under center since joining the team at the trade deadline. However, the Vikings defence has quietly held opponents to just 17.4 points per game over that stretch, and has been key to the team’s six-game ATS undefeated streak on the road.
5. Philadelphia Eagles
SU: 8-1
ATS: 5-2-2
Super Bowl Odds: +550
Last week’s ranking: 5
The Eagles are perched atop the NFL standings with an 8-1 SU record, but the defending NFC champions have failed to cover in consecutive outings in 13 regular season contests since last December, and have seen six of their first nine games settled by a single score.
6. Dallas Cowboys
SU: 6-3
ATS: 6-3
Super Bowl Odds: +1000
Last week’s ranking: 8
The Cowboys used the New York Giants as a punching bag for the second time this season in last week’s 49-17 home victory. With the win, the Cowboys now enjoy an epic 12-0 SU, 10-2 ATS run on home turf, but have covered in just one of four road games. Fortunately for Cowboys betting fans, the team’s lone road date in the next four weeks comes this Sunday in Carolina.
7. Baltimore Ravens
SU: 7-3
ATS: 6-4
Super Bowl Odds: +900
Last week’s ranking: 2
The Ravens remain the team to beat in the AFC North, but last week’s stunning 33-31 loss to Cleveland extends a worrisome trend that has seen this team go just 2-2 SU and ATS in four home dates, all as betting favourites.
8. Cincinnati Bengals
SU: 5-4
ATS: 4-4-1
Super Bowl Odds: +1600
Last week’s ranking: 6
The Bengals are the latest team to take the rejuvenated Houston Texans too lightly, and paid the price in last weekend’s 30-27 loss that snapped a 4-0 SU and ATS run. This team has no easy matchups the rest of the way, but has been a reliable bet as small chalk, going 4-1 SU and 3-1-1 ATS in their past five while favoured by three or fewer points.
9. Jacksonville Jaguars
SU: 6-3
ATS: 6-3
Super Bowl Odds: +2000
Last week’s ranking: 1
The Jaguars saw their five-game SU and ATS win streak snapped in stunning fashion with last weekend’s 34-3 loss to the San Francisco 49ers. Jacksonville has now lost two of three against top-flight opponents, and scored just nine points in defeats at the hands of last season’s conference champions, and things will only get tougher from here.
10. Miami Dolphins
SU: 6-3
ATS: 6-3
Super Bowl Odds: +900
Last week’s ranking: 7
The Dolphins entered last week’s bye after suffering a third straight outright loss to a legitimate playoff contender. Fortunately for this team, they return to action ahead of a favourable run of five straight games against teams currently outside the playoff picture.
11. Cleveland Browns
SU: 6-3
ATS: 5-3-1
Super Bowl Odds: +2200
Last week’s ranking: 12
It is really tough to know how the loss of Deshaun Watson for the rest of the season will impact this team. The Browns have demonstrated resilience in the face of several key injuries, but continue to find ways to win with stingy defence and opportunistic play. Fortunately, there next two games come against Pittsburgh and Denver, neither of which has emerged as an offensive powerhouse.
12. Houston Texans
SU: 5-4
ATS: 5-4
Super Bowl Odds: +8000
Last week’s ranking: 13
CJ Stroud did it again last weekend, leading the Texans to an exciting 30-27 walk-off victory in Cincinnati. Currently enjoying a 5-2 ATS run, look for the Texans to continue to be undervalued on the NFL odds, at least for one more week.
13. Denver Broncos
SU: 4-5
ATS: 3-5-1
Super Bowl Odds: +15000
Last week’s ranking: 15
The Broncos continued their march back to respectability with a second straight upset win last weekend, knocking off Buffalo 24-22 on Monday Night Football. Denver also enjoys a 3-0 ATS run after failing to cover in their eight previous outings, and has allowed just 16 points per game over that stretch.
14. Los Angeles Chargers
SU: 4-5
ATS: 4-5
Super Bowl Odds: +5000
Last week’s ranking: 9
Like the Miami Dolphins, the Chargers have failed to rise to the occasion when faced with top-flight opponents, and have also posted SU and ATS losses in two of three home dates. While this team has largely put early-season injury woes behind them, they remain dogged by poor luck, with four of their five outright losses coming by three or fewer points. Redemption likely awaits on the road.
15. Pittsburgh Steelers
SU: 6-3
ATS: 6-3
Super Bowl Odds: +6600
Last week’s ranking: 18
The Steelers defence deserves the lion’s share of the credit for this team’s strong 6-3 SU start, which has featured for outright wins as betting underdogs. Pittsburgh has limited opponents to 17.8 points per game during a 4-2 run. However, it remains tough to get excited about a Pittsburgh attack led by Kenny Pickett, who has tossed just two scoring passes in six games.
16. Seattle Seahawks
SU: 6-3
ATS: 4-4-1
Super Bowl Odds: +3000
Last week’s ranking: 11
The Seahawks needed late-game heroics from Geno Smith for the second time in three games to eke out a 29-26 win over Washington last weekend. However, this team has largely struggled in the second half in recent weeks, averaging just 7.7 points after halftime over their past six games.
17. Indianapolis Colts
SU: 5-5
ATS: 6-4
Super Bowl Odds: +25000
Last week’s ranking: 19
The Colts have padded their ATS record with back-to-back road wins over Carolina and New England, in which they allowed just 19 total points, and have been a particular steady wager on the road while going 4-1 SU and ATS.
18. Las Vegas Raiders
SU: 5-5
ATS: 5-5
Super Bowl Odds: +20000
Last week’s ranking: 22
The Raiders have received a lift from their recent coaching change, recording back-to-back wins over the Jets and Giants while allowing just 18 total points. The Raiders now enjoy a four-game SU and ATS home win streak, but must find a higher gear ahead of a five-game run that features a visit to Miami and two dates with Kansas City.
19. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
SU: 4-5
ATS: 6-3
Super Bowl Odds: +12500
Last week’s ranking: 21
The Bucs halted a four-game slide with last weekend’s 20-6 win over Tennessee. However, this team has seen its past three losses come by a combined margin of 10 points, and are undefeated ATS on the road in their past four.
20. New York Jets
SU: 4-5
ATS: 4-4-1
Super Bowl Odds: +12500
Last week’s ranking: 16
If only the New York Jets could score some points, they’d find themselves in the playoff hunt. But after averaging just 10.3 points and scoring just one total touchdown over the past three games, capped by Sunday night’s 16-12 loss in Las Vegas, this team offers little betting value apart from taking the UNDER.
21. Washington Commanders
SU: 4-6
ATS: 5-4-1
Super Bowl Odds: +30000
Last week’s ranking: 24
The Commanders have lost six of their past eight contests, capped by last weekend’s 29-26 defeat in Seattle. However, this team has seen seven of their 10 games to date settled by a single score, and are 4-1-1 ATS when pegged as underdogs by six or more points.
22. New Orleans Saints
SU: 5-5
ATS: 2-7-1
Super Bowl Odds: +6000
Last week’s ranking: 23
The Saints have climbed to the top of the NFC South standings during a 5-5 start. However, they remain a risky bet after covering in just two of their past 11 games, and are a dismal 1-7-1 SU this season as betting chalk.
23. Buffalo Bills
SU: 5-5
ATS: 3-7
Super Bowl Odds: +2200
Last week’s ranking: 17
The Bills’ steady decline continued with Monday’s stunning loss to Denver. Overall, the Bills have averaged just 20.5 points per game and are winless ATS during the current 2-4 SU run that has bounced them from the playoff picture. Can they stop the bleeding before hitting the road for dates with the Eagles and Chiefs?
24. Tennessee Titans
SU: 3-6
ATS: 4-5
Super Bowl Odds: +25000
Last week’s ranking: 20
The Titans have seen their losing streak on the road extend to eight games with defeats in Pittsburgh and Tampa Bay, in which they scored just 25 total points. Will Levis has discovered the harsh reality of life as a starting quarterback for bad NFL team while completing just 52.6 of pass attempts for no scores and two picks over that stretch.
25. Green Bay Packers
SU: 3-6
ATS: 4-5
Super Bowl Odds: +20000
Last week’s ranking: 25
The Packers have faded quickly during a 1-5 SU and ATS slide, during which they have averaged just 16.5 points per game. Jordan Love has managed to toss for six scores over the past four games, but his struggles with accuracy have resulted in 10 picks over the past seven games. That’s bad news as their schedule gets even tougher over the next three weeks.
26. Los Angeles Rams
SU: 3-6
ATS: 4-4-1
Super Bowl Odds: +20000
Last week’s ranking: 26
The Rams flashed dark horse potential during a 3-3 start that featured narrow losses to San Francisco and Cincinnati. But this team has been unable to survive the loss of Matthew Stafford to injury, and has scored just 11 points per game during a 0-3 SU and ATS run.
27. Atlanta Falcons
SU: 4-6
ATS: 2-8
Super Bowl Odds: +12500
Last week’s ranking: 28
The game of musical chairs continued under center last weekend, with Desmond Ridder’s return to action. Ridder returned following an injury to Tyler Heinecke, who has been uninspiring while leading this team to three straight losses. The offensive struggles are not helped by a defence that has allowed 28 points game during the 0-3 slide, dumping Atlanta to 1-8 ATS in its past nine.
28. New England Patriots
SU: 2-8
ATS: 2-8
Super Bowl Odds: +100000
Last week’s ranking: 27
The Patriots squandered a solid defensive effort by failing to generate any soft of offensive momentum in last week’s 10-6 loss to Indianapolis. The future of Mac Jones is uncertain after team averaged just 14.7 points over their three recent losses, and now sport a brutal 3-14 ATS record in their past 17 games.
29. Chicago Bears
SU: 3-7
ATS: 3-6-1
Super Bowl Odds: +100000
Last week’s ranking: 29
The Bears hope to have Justin Fields back under center in Week 11, as they look to record consecutive wins for the first time in 29 games. Fields’ return is welcome by a team that has scored more than 17 points just once during his five-game absence due to injury. However, the Bears have benefited from low expectations while going 3-3-1 ATS over their past seven games.
30. Arizona Cardinals
SU: 2-8
ATS: 5-5
Super Bowl Odds: +100000
Last week’s ranking: 31
The Cardinals responded to Kyler Murray’s return last weekend with their highest scoring performance since Week 2 in their 25-23 win over Atlanta. But expecting Arizona’s 28th-ranked defence to keep pace is too much to ask after allowing 28 points per game during their current 1-6 SU run.
31. Carolina Panthers
SU: 1-8
ATS: 2-6-1
Super Bowl Odds: +150000
Last week’s ranking: 30
Incredibly, the Panthers have managed to record one win and cover twice over their past three games despite averaging just 13.7 points and scoring just two touchdowns over that stretch. However, there is little value in this team ahead of Sunday’s date with Dallas, followed by three straight games on the road, where they are winless this season.
32. New York Giants
SU: 2-8
ATS: 2-7-1
Super Bowl Odds: +150000
Last week’s ranking: 32
The Giants were the biggest underdogs of the season so far in last week’s visit to Dallas, and performed as expected in a 49-17 loss. New York enjoys a favourable schedule over the next month. But without an established NFL quarterback, and an attack that has averaged just 10.9 points during a 1-7 SU, 2-5-1 ATS run, there is no reason to expand any dramatic improvement anytime soon.
