Week 9 of the NFL season kicks off from New Jersey on Thursday night as the New York Jets host the AFC East rival Buffalo Bills, who go for the season sweep. The Bills are just over field-goal favourites on the NFL betting board.
Buffalo Bills at New York Jets
When: Thursday, 8:25 PM ET Where: MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, N.J. Point Spread: Bills -3.5
Point Spread and Betting Analysis
In Week 1, Buffalo was a 7-point home favourite against the Jets, and the Bills won 21-12 in Sean McDermott’s head coaching debut. Tyrod Taylor threw for 224 yards and two scores, and LeSean McCoy rushed for 110 yards and caught five passes for 49 yards. Josh McCown was held to 187 yards passing and was picked off twice – including at the Buffalo 41 to end the Jets’ final series. New York was outgained 408-214.
The Bills have won and covered seven of the past 10 meetings in this series.
New York Jets
The Jets (3-5 SU, 5-2-1 ATS) dropped their third straight Sunday, 25-20 at home to the Atlanta Falcons. That game was really sloppy played in torrential rain at times. McCown threw for 257 yards and two scores. Chandler Catanzaro missed two field goal attempts. The Jets played without starting cornerback Buster Skrine due to a concussion and then saw their top cover guy, Morris Claiborne, leave with a foot injury.
New York has been perhaps more competitive than many people expected this season, but the Jets tend to fade in the fourth quarter as they have now been outscored 76-20 in that quarter (9-3 on Sunday). New York has scored a touchdown on its opening possession in each of the past three games yet that obviously hasn’t translated to wins. It’s the first time in nine years that Gang Green has scored on its opening drive in three straight games.
McDermott is among the candidates for NFL Coach of the Year with his Bills (5-2 SU, 5-1-1 ATS – fewest ATS losses in the NFL) surprisingly just a half-game out of first in the AFC East behind the New England Patriots. Buffalo hasn’t won a division title since 1995 or made the playoffs since 1999, the longest active drought in not just the NFL but also in the NBA, NHL and Major League Baseball.
The Bills are off a 34-14 win over Oakland to improve to 4-0 at home. They forced four Raiders turnovers and scored 13 points off them, including a 40-yard fumble return for a TD by rookie linebacker Matt Milano. Impressive considering Buffalo was without three defensive starters in safety Jordan Poyer (knee), cornerback E.J. Gaines (hamstring) and linebacker Ramon Humber (thumb). Milano was starting in place of Humber. McCoy rushed for a season-high 151 yards and a touchdown on 27 carries.
Bills at Jets Prediction
Buffalo 19, NY Jets 14.