2022 Orange Bowl Prediction: Knoxville vs. Clemson Odds

Daniel Coyle | Updated Dec 28, 2022

Two teams that fell short of berths in this season’s College Football Playoff clash on Friday, as Clemson takes on Tennessee in the Orange Bowl.

December 30, 2022, 8:00 PM ET
Hard Rock Stadium
Pointspread +3.5 -111
Moneyline +145
Over / Under o +61.5


Betting Action


Pointspread -3.5 -109
Moneyline -174
Over / Under u +61.5


Betting Action


The Volunteers saw their CFP hopes fade with losses in two of their final four outings, while the Tigers look to build on their 39-10 rout of North Carolina in this season’s ACC championship game.

The Tigers are perched as 5.5-point favourites in Friday’s contest, and the total is pegged at a lofty 63.5.

Capital One Orange Bowl Betting Analysis

Friday night’s matchup at Hard Rock Stadium marks first meeting between these times since 2004, and just their fourth clash since 1944. The Tigers rolled to a 27-14 when they battled Tennessee in the 2004 Peach Bowl, ending a seven-game straight up losing streak in head-to-head action that dated back to 1919. 

Tennessee is coming off a 47-45 loss to Purdue in last year’s Music City Bowl that put the brakes on a four-game win streak in bowl game action, but has fallen to defeat in each of its past three Orange Bowl appearances. The Tigers snapped a two-game slide in bowl game action with last year’s 20-13 win over Iowa State in the Cheez-It Bowl, and have earned the win in three of their past four Orange Bowl appearances.

Tennessee Volunteers

The Volunteers emerged as College Football Playoff contenders while winning each of their first eight games of the season, but tumbled to No. 6 in the CFP rankings during their middling 2-2 stretch run. Overall, the Vols closed out their regular season with a 10-2 overall record, and a 6-2 mark in conference play, earning them second place in the SEC East standings. The team rebounded well from a stunning 63-38 loss to South Carolina in Week 12 that effectively snuffed out their CFP chances, rolling to a dominating 53-0 win over Vanderbilt in their regular season finale.

However, the Volunteers will be missing some key offensive personnel when they hit the gridiron for Friday night’s contest. With quarterback Hendon Hooker sidelined by injury, Joe Milton III is expected to make a second straight start. The towering senior tossed for 147 yards and one score against Vandy, but will have to make do without top receivers Jalin Hyatt and Cedric Tillman. The duo combined to make 18 total scoring catches this season, but both opted out of Friday’s contest 

Clemson Tigers

Big games are nothing new for the Tigers, who have fought their way to four CFP national championship game appearances and two wins over the past decade. However, this season’s edition of the Tigers also saw their CFP hopes dashed by South Carolina with a stunning 31-30 Palmetto Bowl loss to the Gamecocks. First-place finishers in the ACC Atlantic Division with a spotless 8-0 record, the Tigers closed out their schedule with an 11-2 overall record in the wake of their loss to the Gamecocks, and out of contention at No. 6 in the CFP rankings. Apart from their two defeats this season, the Tigers have been a dominating defensive force this season.

The Clemson defence limited opponents to just 17.7 points per game over their 11 victories, and ranked 17th overall in the nation. And with quarterback DJ Uiagalelei racking up 29 total touchdowns, the Tigers also ranked 25th in the nation in points per game. However, Uiagalelei is unavailable on Friday after entering the transfer portal, adding to a growing list that includes receivers Beaux Collins and rusher Kobe Pace. Accordingly, freshman Cade Klubnik is expected to take over under center after tossing for 279 yards and one touchdown, and running for a second score in the team’s recent rout of the Tar Heels.

Orange Bowl Prediction: Who Will Win Tennessee vs. Clemson?