Birmingham Bowl Point Spread: College Football Bowl Odds, Prediction

Andrew Rogers | Updated Dec 21, 2017

Quinton Flowers Darius Tice

The points should be plentiful at Legion Field in Birmingham, Ala., this Saturday as Texas Tech’s vaunted pass attack meets South Florida’s elite run game at the Birmingham Bowl.

AT
December 23, 2017, 12:00 PM ET
Legion Field
Pointspread +2.5 -105
Moneyline +120
Over / Under o +66.5

11%

Betting Action

89%

Pointspread -2.5 -115
Moneyline -140
Over / Under u +66.5

11%

Betting Action

89%

The Bulls are slight favourites in this one by virtue of averaging a whopping 38.3 points per game – the 14th-highest rate in the nation. The Red Raiders were no slouches themselves, posting an average of 34.3 points per contest to rank just outside the top 25 in the country.

Red Raiders vs. Bulls Spread and Betting Analysis

South Florida sure did put up the points, but that didn’t translate into success against the spread – the Bulls were just 5-6 ATS on the season while failing to cover in four of their final five games. But the Red Raiders have been even worse, going 2-5 ATS in their previous seven games while covering only twice in their previous nine bowl appearances. Sports Interaction bettors are resolute in their choice, with 88 percent taking South Florida to cover.

With the teams combining to average better than 70 points per game during the season, it’s no surprise that nearly 90 percent of Sports Interaction participants are leaning toward the over on the 66.5-point total. Texas Tech has exceeded the total in 14 of its previous 17 neutral-site games and is 9-1 O/U in its previous 10 bowl contests. USF has gone over in seven straight games after compiling more than 450 yards in its previous outing.

Texas Tech Red Raiders

There’s no trickery to the Red Raiders’ offense: They pass the ball on more than 55 percent of their offensive possessions vs. FBS teams, the 15th-highest rate in Division I. That translates to nearly 327 passing yards per game, good for 11th in the country. Quarterback Nic Shimonek had a sensational year under center, throwing 30 touchdown passes while compiling more than 3,500 yards through the air. Texas Tech has covered its last four non-conference games.

South Florida Bulls

The running of the Bulls (pun intended) played a major role in USF finishing second in the AAC’s East Division. Quarterback Quinton Flowers and running back Darius Tice combined for 1,850 yards and 21 touchdowns on the ground; Flowers added 2,600 passing yards and 21 scores in one of the best two-way seasons among Division I QBs. USF also boasted an impressive plus-10 turnover margin – though Texas Tech was slightly better at plus-11.

Red Raiders vs. Bulls Prediction

SportsInteraction